Model opportunities

NHL Player Prop Leads

Discover model-supported opportunities, compare prices, and explore the evidence. Leads, not locks.

Pregame Model board

62 Active Leads

Updated 9 books represented Best book only 1202 total active
Elite 0
Strong 2
High Confidence20
Value6
Watch 34
Discovery V0.1 Latest completed Discovery V0.1 board • 30-minute refresh target • price age is shown on each Lead. Probability and EV are model estimates, not guarantees. High Confidence describes an outcome category; it is not a higher value tier. Refresh board
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Showing 25 of 62 matching leads from 1202 active public leads
Joel Kiviranta
DAL vs COL
8:30 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Joel Kiviranta L
Player Goals
over 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Expected Value +378.9%
Last 5 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Last 10 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs COL
Best Price
BetOnline
+1100
Projection0.51
Probability39.9%
Edge+31.6%
EV+378.9%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 55
Discovery 78.36
Easton Cowan
TOR @ UTA
9:00 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Easton Cowan R
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +137.2%
Last 5 0.6 ≈ +0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Venue Away
Opponent @ UTA
Best Price
fliff
+515
Projection0.49
Probability38.6%
Edge+22.3%
EV+137.2%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 74.56
Jack Roslovic
TOR @ UTA
9:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Jack Roslovic C
Player Shots On Goal
over 1.5
Power Play 2 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +38.6%
Last 5 3.2 ▲ 1.7 above line
Last 10 3.0 ▲ 1.5 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ UTA
Best Price
BetMGM
-125
Projection2.80
Probability77.0%
Edge+21.4%
EV+38.6%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 67
Discovery 52.75
Morgan Rielly
TOR @ UTA
9:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Morgan Rielly D
Player Shots On Goal
under 1.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Expected Value +30.3%
Last 5 1.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 1.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ UTA
Best Price
BetOnline
-141
Projection0.93
Probability76.3%
Edge+17.7%
EV+30.3%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 63
Discovery 45.94
Roope Hintz
DAL vs COL
8:30 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Roope Hintz C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +7.2%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs COL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-320
Projection0.20
Probability81.7%
Edge+5.5%
EV+7.2%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 28.62
Brandon Duhaime
TOR @ UTA
9:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Brandon Duhaime L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Expected Value +4.7%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ UTA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1400
Projection0.02
Probability97.7%
Edge+4.4%
EV+4.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 28.21
Tyler Myers
DAL vs COL
8:30 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Tyler Myers D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +1.0%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs COL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-5000
Projection0.01
Probability99.1%
Edge+1.0%
EV+1.0%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 24.20
Jake McCabe
TOR @ UTA
9:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Jake McCabe D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Current Price -4000
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ UTA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-4000
Projection0.03
Probability97.1%
Edge-0.4%
EV-0.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 23.55
Oliver Ekman-Larsson
TOR @ UTA
9:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 3 Projected
Current Price -3500
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ UTA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-3500
Projection0.05
Probability94.7%
Edge-2.5%
EV-2.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 23.43
Oskar Bäck
DAL vs COL
8:30 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Oskar Bäck C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +0.4%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs COL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2500
Projection0.04
Probability96.5%
Edge+0.4%
EV+0.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 23.37
Morgan Rielly
TOR @ UTA
9:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Morgan Rielly D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Current Price -2500
Last 5 1.0 ▲ 0.5 above line
Last 10 1.0 ▲ 0.5 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ UTA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2500
Projection0.07
Probability92.9%
Edge-3.2%
EV-3.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 23.34
Thomas Harley
DAL vs COL
8:30 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Thomas Harley D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Expected Value +0.4%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs COL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2000
Projection0.05
Probability95.6%
Edge+0.3%
EV+0.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 23.31
Teddy Blueger
TOR @ UTA
9:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Teddy Blueger C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Current Price -1200
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ UTA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1200
Projection0.13
Probability87.7%
Edge-4.7%
EV-5.0%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 23.08
Nils Lundkvist
DAL vs COL
8:30 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Nils Lundkvist D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 2 Projected
Current Price -4000
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs COL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-4000
Projection0.03
Probability97.2%
Edge-0.4%
EV-0.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 23.04
Colton Sissons
TOR @ UTA
9:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Colton Sissons C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 3 Projected
Current Price -1600
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ UTA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1600
Projection0.14
Probability86.6%
Edge-7.5%
EV-8.0%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 23.03
Esa Lindell
DAL vs COL
8:30 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Esa Lindell D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 1 Projected
Current Price -2800
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs COL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2800
Projection0.04
Probability95.9%
Edge-0.6%
EV-0.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.98
Lian Bichsel
DAL vs COL
8:30 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Lian Bichsel D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 3 Projected
Current Price -5000
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs COL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-5000
Projection0.04
Probability95.8%
Edge-2.2%
EV-2.2%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.97
Darren Raddysh
TOR @ UTA
9:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Darren Raddysh D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 D Pair 1 Projected
Current Price -1000
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ UTA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1000
Projection0.16
Probability85.6%
Edge-5.3%
EV-5.9%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 22.97
Justin Hryckowian
DAL vs COL
8:30 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Justin Hryckowian C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Current Price -1200
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs COL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1200
Projection0.10
Probability90.6%
Edge-1.7%
EV-1.8%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.71
Sam Steel
DAL vs COL
8:30 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Sam Steel C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 1 Projected
Current Price -750
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs COL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-750
Projection0.20
Probability81.7%
Edge-6.5%
EV-7.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.27
Jamie Benn
DAL vs COL
8:30 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Jamie Benn L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Current Price -800
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs COL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-800
Projection0.20
Probability81.8%
Edge-7.1%
EV-8.0%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.27
Tyler Seguin
DAL vs COL
8:30 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Tyler Seguin C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Current Price -650
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs COL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-650
Projection0.21
Probability81.1%
Edge-5.6%
EV-6.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.23
Miro Heiskanen
DAL vs COL
8:30 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Miro Heiskanen D
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 1 D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +87.4%
Last 5 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs COL
Best Price
BetOnline
+500
Projection0.37
Probability31.2%
Edge+14.6%
EV+87.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 63.83
William Nylander
TOR @ UTA
9:00 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
William Nylander R
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +61.3%
Last 5 0.6 ≈ +0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.8 ▲ 0.3 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ UTA
Best Price
fliff
+190
Projection0.81
Probability55.6%
Edge+21.1%
EV+61.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 59.21
Miro Heiskanen
DAL vs COL
8:30 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Miro Heiskanen D
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 1 D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +49.6%
Last 5 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs COL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-120
Projection0.20
Probability81.6%
Edge+27.1%
EV+49.6%
Projection run 11096 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 58
Discovery 58.24
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