Model opportunities

NHL Player Prop Leads

Discover model-supported opportunities, compare prices, and explore the evidence. Leads, not locks.

Pregame Model board

51 Active Leads

Updated 13 books represented Best book only 1888 total active
Elite 0
Strong 1
High Confidence17
Value6
Watch 27
Discovery V0.1 Latest completed Discovery V0.1 board • 30-minute refresh target • price age is shown on each Lead. Probability and EV are model estimates, not guarantees. High Confidence describes an outcome category; it is not a higher value tier. Refresh board
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Showing 25 of 51 matching leads from 1888 active public leads
Brady Tkachuk
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Brady Tkachuk L
Player Points
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +78.7%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
DraftKings
+115
Projection0.18
Probability83.1%
Edge+36.6%
EV+78.7%
Projection run 11104 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 63
Discovery 77.43
Carter Verhaeghe
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Carter Verhaeghe C
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +32.1%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
BetMGM
-190
Projection0.14
Probability86.6%
Edge+21.0%
EV+32.1%
Projection run 11109 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 60
Discovery 48.34
Anton Lundell
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Anton Lundell C
Player Shots On Goal
over 1.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +31.8%
Last 5 3.2 ▲ 1.7 above line
Last 10 3.2 ▲ 1.7 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
ESPN BET
-155
Projection3.00
Probability80.1%
Edge+19.3%
EV+31.8%
Projection run 11107 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 63
Discovery 47.68
Brady Tkachuk
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Brady Tkachuk L
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +30.7%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
Pinnacle
-185
Projection0.16
Probability84.8%
Edge+19.9%
EV+30.7%
Projection run 11109 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 60
Discovery 46.94
Brady Tkachuk
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Brady Tkachuk L
Player Shots On Goal
under 3.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +25.2%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 3.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 3.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
-170
Projection2.35
Probability78.8%
Edge+15.9%
EV+25.2%
Projection run 11107 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 63
Discovery 42.83
Sam Reinhart
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Sam Reinhart C
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +22.5%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
Pinnacle
-165
Projection0.27
Probability76.3%
Edge+14.0%
EV+22.5%
Projection run 11109 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 60
Discovery 39.59
Carter Verhaeghe
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Carter Verhaeghe C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +13.3%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
ESPN BET
-320
Projection0.15
Probability86.3%
Edge+10.1%
EV+13.3%
Projection run 11108 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 34.65
Sam Bennett
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Sam Bennett C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +9.6%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
ESPN BET
-300
Projection0.20
Probability82.2%
Edge+7.2%
EV+9.6%
Projection run 11108 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 31.14
Brady Tkachuk
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Brady Tkachuk L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +9.7%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
FanDuel
-280
Projection0.21
Probability80.8%
Edge+7.2%
EV+9.7%
Projection run 11108 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 31.10
Anton Lundell
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Anton Lundell C
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +9.2%
Last 5 3.2 ▲ 2.7 above line
Last 10 3.2 ▲ 2.7 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
Pinnacle
-355
Projection0.16
Probability85.2%
Edge+7.2%
EV+9.2%
Projection run 11109 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 60
Discovery 30.43
Garnet Hathaway
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Garnet Hathaway R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Expected Value +2.6%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2500
Projection0.01
Probability98.7%
Edge+2.5%
EV+2.6%
Projection run 11108 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 26.25
Lars Eller
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Lars Eller C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 4 Projected
Expected Value +2.5%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1600
Projection0.04
Probability96.5%
Edge+2.4%
EV+2.5%
Projection run 11108 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 26.01
Sandis Vilmanis
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Sandis Vilmanis L
Player Points
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +4.0%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
Bally Bet
-435
Projection0.17
Probability84.6%
Edge+3.3%
EV+4.0%
Projection run 11104 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 60
Discovery 25.91
Anton Lundell
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Anton Lundell C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +3.2%
Last 5 3.2 ▲ 2.7 above line
Last 10 3.2 ▲ 2.7 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
Pinnacle
-465
Projection0.16
Probability84.9%
Edge+2.6%
EV+3.2%
Projection run 11108 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 25.87
Niko Mikkola
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Niko Mikkola D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 2 Projected
Expected Value +0.6%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
ESPN BET
-3500
Projection0.02
Probability97.9%
Edge+0.6%
EV+0.6%
Projection run 11108 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 24.24
Radko Gudas
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Radko Gudas D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +0.3%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
ESPN BET
-5000
Projection0.02
Probability98.3%
Edge+0.3%
EV+0.3%
Projection run 11108 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 23.88
Seth Jones
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Seth Jones D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 D Pair 2 Projected
Current Price -1000
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1000
Projection0.15
Probability86.2%
Edge-4.7%
EV-5.2%
Projection run 11108 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 23.01
Gustav Forsling
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Gustav Forsling D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 1 Projected
Current Price -2500
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2500
Projection0.18
Probability83.7%
Edge-12.4%
EV-12.9%
Projection run 11108 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.37
Gustav Forsling
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Gustav Forsling D
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +111.3%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
BetOnline
+1200
Projection0.18
Probability16.3%
Edge+8.6%
EV+111.3%
Projection run 11108 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 64.34
Sam Reinhart
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Sam Reinhart C
Player Points
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +58.5%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
BetOnline
+120
Projection0.33
Probability72.0%
Edge+26.6%
EV+58.5%
Projection run 11104 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 63
Discovery 62.51
Carter Verhaeghe
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Carter Verhaeghe C
Player Points
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +51.1%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
BetMGM
+105
Projection0.30
Probability73.7%
Edge+24.9%
EV+51.1%
Projection run 11104 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 60
Discovery 57.72
Sam Bennett
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Sam Bennett C
Player Shots On Goal
under 2.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +43.2%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 2.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 2.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
-125
Projection1.55
Probability79.6%
Edge+24.0%
EV+43.2%
Projection run 11107 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 57
Discovery 53.36
Aaron Ekblad
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Aaron Ekblad D
Player Assists
over 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +58.5%
Last 5 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Last 10 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
BetOnline
+300
Projection0.50
Probability39.6%
Edge+14.6%
EV+58.5%
Projection run 11109 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 53.10
Eetu Luostarinen
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Eetu Luostarinen C
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +63.0%
Last 5 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.3 ≈ -0.2 vs line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
BetOnline
+500
Projection0.32
Probability27.2%
Edge+10.5%
EV+63.0%
Projection run 11108 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 51.79
Carter Verhaeghe
FLA @ CBJ
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Watch Lead
Carter Verhaeghe C
Player Shots On Goal
under 2.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +68.9%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 2.5 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 2.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CBJ
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
-115
Projection1.08
Probability90.4%
Edge+36.9%
EV+68.9%
Projection run 11107 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 47
Discovery 69.23
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