NHL Player Prop Leads

Ross Colton C

Nils Hoglander L · Lead

Recent Form

Player Goals

0.6 Season

0.6 Last 10

0.6 Last 5

0.7 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 0 0 2 1

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 0 0 1 1

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 2 0

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 2 0

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 0 0 0 0

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 2/5 (40 %)

Last 10 2/5 (40 %)

Last 5 2/5 (40 %)

Last 3 1/3 (33 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

BetOnline +400 Best Price

fliff +390

Pinnacle +360

ESPN BET +340

Hard Rock Bet +325

5 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

BetOnline Exact book · main line

First Captured Over 0.5 · +400

Current Over 0.5 · +400

Best Observed Over 0.5 · +400

Shortest Observed Over 0.5 · +400

Net Movement No recorded change

Tracked 1 captured state · since Oct 13, 3:13 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.09 above the posted line • L2 RW deployment • PP2 usage • 0.6 goals average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Value Available — Strong — Discovery >= 65 and model confidence >= 55.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

Strong Lead

Adam Edstrom C

Player Goals

over 0.5

Line 4 Projected

Expected Value +164.7%

Last 5 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line

Last 10 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

ESPN BET

+700

Projection0.40

Probability33.1%

Edge+20.6%

EV+164.7%

Projection run 11129 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 61

Discovery 72.70

Line Deployment

Line 4 RW

Reid Schaefer LW

Jack Drury C

Adam Edstrom RW · Lead

PP unit not loaded

Power-play teammates not available for this snapshot.

Recent Form

Player Goals

0.4 Season

0.4 Last 10

0.4 Last 5

0.7 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 0 0 0 1

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 2 2

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 0 0 3 1

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 0 0 4 0

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 0 0 1 1

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 1/5 (20 %)

Last 10 1/5 (20 %)

Last 5 1/5 (20 %)

Last 3 1/3 (33 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

ESPN BET +700 Best Price

BetOnline +700

Hard Rock Bet +700

fliff +665

4 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

ESPN BET Exact book · main line

First Captured Over 0.5 · +750

Current Over 0.5 · +700

Best Observed Over 0.5 · +750

Shortest Observed Over 0.5 · +700

Net Movement Price +750 → +700

Tracked 2 captured states · since Oct 13, 7:13 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.10 below the posted line • L4 RW deployment • 0.4 goals average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Value Available — Strong — Discovery >= 65 and model confidence >= 55.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

Strong Lead

Filip Forsberg L

Player Shots On Goal

under 2.5

Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected

Expected Value +64.5%

Last 5 1.8 ▼ 0.7 below line

Last 10 1.8 ▼ 0.7 below line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

Bovada

+115

Projection1.67

Probability76.5%

Edge+30.0%

EV+64.5%

Projection run 11128 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 67

Discovery 68.47

Line Deployment

Line 2 LW

Filip Forsberg LW · Lead

Matthew Wood C

Nils Hoglander RW

PP1

Steven Stamkos C

Filip Forsberg L · Lead

Matthew Wood R

Roman Josi D

Recent Form

Player Shots On Goal

1.8 Season

1.8 Last 10

1.8 Last 5

2.0 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 0 0 1 0

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 3 1

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 2 1

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 0 0 1 0

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 2 0

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 4/5 (80 %)

Last 10 4/5 (80 %)

Last 5 4/5 (80 %)

Last 3 2/3 (67 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Shots Against / Game

Season24.6

Last 1024.6

Last 525.2

Last 326.3

NHL Rank 25th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

Bovada +115 Best Price

BetMGM +110

DraftKings +110

FanDuel +108

Pinnacle +106

ESPN BET +105

fliff +105

Hard Rock Bet +105

Bally Bet -105

BetOnline -106

10 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

Bovada Exact book · main line

First Captured Under 2.5 · +120

Current Under 2.5 · +115

Best Observed Under 2.5 · +120

Shortest Observed Under 2.5 · +115

Net Movement Price +120 → +115

Tracked 2 captured states · since Oct 13, 9:21 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.83 below the posted line • L2 LW deployment • PP1 usage • 1.8 sog average over the last 10 • opponent shots allowed 24.6 (L10) • Value Available — Strong — Discovery >= 65 and model confidence >= 55.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

High Confidence Lead

Roman Josi D

Player Shots On Goal

under 2.5

Power Play 1 D Pair 1 Projected

Expected Value +36.5%

Last 5 1.6 ▼ 0.9 below line

Last 10 1.6 ▼ 0.9 below line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

FanDuel

-148

Projection1.48

Probability81.5%

Edge+21.8%

EV+36.5%

Projection run 11128 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 63

Discovery 51.21

Line Deployment

D Pair 1 RD

Nicolas Hague LD

Roman Josi RD · Lead

PP1

Roman Josi D · Lead

Recent Form

Player Shots On Goal

1.6 Season

1.6 Last 10

1.6 Last 5

1.7 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 2 5

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 2 2

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 1 2

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 0 2

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 3 0

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 4/5 (80 %)

Last 10 4/5 (80 %)

Last 5 4/5 (80 %)

Last 3 3/3 (100 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Shots Against / Game

Season24.6

Last 1024.6

Last 525.2

Last 326.3

NHL Rank 25th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

FanDuel -148 Best Price

BetOnline -154

DraftKings -155

BetMGM -160

fliff -165

Hard Rock Bet -165

Pinnacle -176

ESPN BET -180

Bovada -185

9 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

FanDuel Exact book · main line

First Captured Under 2.5 · -165

Current Under 2.5 · -148

Best Observed Under 2.5 · -146

Shortest Observed Under 2.5 · -168

Net Movement Price -165 → -148

Tracked 9 captured states · since Oct 12, 1:48 PM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 1.02 below the posted line • L1 RD deployment • PP1 usage • 1.6 sog average over the last 10 • opponent shots allowed 24.6 (L10) • Value Available — High Confidence — Model probability >= 75% and confidence >= 60; not Elite/Strong. Model estimate, not a guarantee.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

High Confidence Lead

Steven Stamkos C

Player Points

over 0.5

Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected

Expected Value +32.3%

Last 5 1.4 ▲ 0.9 above line

Last 10 1.4 ▲ 0.9 above line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

circa

-150

Projection1.58

Probability79.4%

Edge+19.4%

EV+32.3%

Projection run 11131 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 61

Discovery 47.27

Line Deployment

Line 1 LW

Steven Stamkos LW · Lead

Jonathan Marchessault RW

PP1

Steven Stamkos C · Lead

Recent Form

Player Points

1.4 Season

1.4 Last 10

1.4 Last 5

1.7 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 0 2

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 2 0

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 3 1

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 4 0

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 1 0

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 5/5 (100 %)

Last 10 5/5 (100 %)

Last 5 5/5 (100 %)

Last 3 3/3 (100 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

circa -150 Best Price

Fanatics -150

ESPN BET -155

Bally Bet -155

betrivers -155

Pinnacle -159

DraftKings -160

fliff -160

BetOnline -161

Caesars -170

14 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

circa Exact book · main line

First Captured Over 0.5 · -150

Current Over 0.5 · -150

Best Observed Over 0.5 · -150

Shortest Observed Over 0.5 · -150

Net Movement No recorded change

Tracked 1 captured state · since Oct 13, 11:29 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 1.08 above the posted line • L1 LW deployment • PP1 usage • 1.4 points average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Value Available — High Confidence — Model probability >= 75% and confidence >= 60; not Elite/Strong. Model estimate, not a guarantee.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

High Confidence Lead

Ryan O'Reilly C

Player Goals

under 0.5

Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected

Expected Value +11.3%

Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line

Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

ESPN BET

-300

Projection0.18

Probability83.5%

Edge+8.5%

EV+11.3%

Projection run 11129 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 61

Discovery 32.21

Line Deployment

Line 1 C

Steven Stamkos LW

Ryan O'Reilly C · Lead

Jonathan Marchessault RW

PP1

Ryan O'Reilly C · Lead

Recent Form

Player Goals

0.2 Season

0.2 Last 10

0.2 Last 5

0.3 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 0 0 0 2

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 2 2

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 1 1

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 1 1

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 0 0 4 0

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 4/5 (80 %)

Last 10 4/5 (80 %)

Last 5 4/5 (80 %)

Last 3 2/3 (67 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

ESPN BET -300 Best Price

Pinnacle -321

FanDuel -350

3 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

ESPN BET Exact book · main line

First Captured Under 0.5 · -320

Current Under 0.5 · -300

Best Observed Under 0.5 · -300

Shortest Observed Under 0.5 · -320

Net Movement Price -320 → -300

Tracked 2 captured states · since Oct 13, 7:13 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.32 below the posted line • L1 C deployment • PP1 usage • 0.2 goals average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Value Available — High Confidence — Model probability >= 75% and confidence >= 60; not Elite/Strong. Model estimate, not a guarantee.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

High Confidence Lead

Brady Skjei D

Player Goals

under 0.5

Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected

Expected Value +4.2%

Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line

Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

ESPN BET

-1600

Projection0.02

Probability98.1%

Edge+3.9%

EV+4.2%

Projection run 11129 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 61

Discovery 27.21

Line Deployment

D Pair 2 LD

Brady Skjei LD · Lead

Nick Perbix RD

PP2

Ross Colton C

Brady Skjei D · Lead

Recent Form

Player Goals

0.0 Season

0.0 Last 10

0.0 Last 5

0.0 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 0 0 1 0

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 0 0

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 0 0

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 0 0 2 2

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 0 0 0 1

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 5/5 (100 %)

Last 10 5/5 (100 %)

Last 5 5/5 (100 %)

Last 3 3/3 (100 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

ESPN BET -1600 Best Price

1 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

ESPN BET Exact book · main line

First Captured Under 0.5 · -1600

Current Under 0.5 · -1600

Best Observed Under 0.5 · -1600

Shortest Observed Under 0.5 · -1600

Net Movement No recorded change

Tracked 1 captured state · since Oct 13, 7:13 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.48 below the posted line • L2 LD deployment • PP2 usage • 0.0 goals average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Value Available — High Confidence — Model probability >= 75% and confidence >= 60; not Elite/Strong. Model estimate, not a guarantee.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

High Confidence Lead

Jonathan Marchessault C

Player Goals

under 0.5

Power Play 2 Line 1 Projected

Expected Value +4.1%

Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line

Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

Pinnacle

-391

Projection0.19

Probability82.9%

Edge+3.3%

EV+4.1%

Projection run 11129 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 61

Discovery 25.99

Line Deployment

Line 1 RW

Steven Stamkos LW

Jonathan Marchessault RW · Lead

PP2

Jonathan Marchessault C · Lead

Recent Form

Player Goals

0.2 Season

0.2 Last 10

0.2 Last 5

0.3 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 3 0

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 0 0 0 0

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 0 0 2 0

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 0 0 3 0

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 0 0 0 0

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 4/5 (80 %)

Last 10 4/5 (80 %)

Last 5 4/5 (80 %)

Last 3 2/3 (67 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

Pinnacle -391 Best Price

ESPN BET -475

2 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

Pinnacle Exact book · main line

First Captured Under 0.5 · -408

Current Under 0.5 · -391

Best Observed Under 0.5 · -391

Shortest Observed Under 0.5 · -426

Net Movement Price -408 → -391

Tracked 4 captured states · since Oct 13, 10:42 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.31 below the posted line • L1 RW deployment • PP2 usage • 0.2 goals average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Value Available — High Confidence — Model probability >= 75% and confidence >= 60; not Elite/Strong. Model estimate, not a guarantee.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

High Confidence Lead

Adam Wilsby D

Player Goals

under 0.5

D Pair 3 Projected

Expected Value +1.6%

Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line

Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

ESPN BET

-4000

Projection0.01

Probability99.1%

Edge+1.6%

EV+1.6%

Projection run 11129 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 61

Discovery 24.74

Line Deployment

D Pair 3 RD

Jayden Struble LD

Adam Wilsby RD · Lead

PP unit not loaded

Power-play teammates not available for this snapshot.

Recent Form

Player Goals

0.0 Season

0.0 Last 10

0.0 Last 5

0.0 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 0 0 2 1

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 0 2

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 2 0

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 0 0 1 2

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 0 0 0 3

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 5/5 (100 %)

Last 10 5/5 (100 %)

Last 5 5/5 (100 %)

Last 3 3/3 (100 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

ESPN BET -4000 Best Price

1 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

ESPN BET Exact book · main line

First Captured Under 0.5 · -4000

Current Under 0.5 · -4000

Best Observed Under 0.5 · -3500

Shortest Observed Under 0.5 · -4000

Net Movement No recorded change

Tracked 3 captured states · since Oct 13, 7:13 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.49 below the posted line • L3 RD deployment • 0.0 goals average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Value Available — High Confidence — Model probability >= 75% and confidence >= 60; not Elite/Strong. Model estimate, not a guarantee.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

High Confidence Lead

Nick Perbix D

Player Goals

under 0.5

D Pair 2 Projected

Expected Value +0.5%

Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line

Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

ESPN BET

-4000

Projection0.02

Probability98.0%

Edge+0.5%

EV+0.5%

Projection run 11129 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 61

Discovery 23.57

Line Deployment

D Pair 2 RD

Brady Skjei LD

Nick Perbix RD · Lead

PP unit not loaded

Power-play teammates not available for this snapshot.

Recent Form

Player Goals

0.0 Season

0.0 Last 10

0.0 Last 5

0.0 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 0 0 0 3

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 0 0 1 2

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 0 0 1 3

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 0 0 1 2

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 0 0 0 3

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 5/5 (100 %)

Last 10 5/5 (100 %)

Last 5 5/5 (100 %)

Last 3 3/3 (100 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

ESPN BET -4000 Best Price

1 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

ESPN BET Exact book · main line

First Captured Under 0.5 · -4000

Current Under 0.5 · -4000

Best Observed Under 0.5 · -4000

Shortest Observed Under 0.5 · -5000

Net Movement No recorded change

Tracked 3 captured states · since Oct 13, 7:13 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.48 below the posted line • L2 RD deployment • 0.0 goals average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Value Available — High Confidence — Model probability >= 75% and confidence >= 60; not Elite/Strong. Model estimate, not a guarantee.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

High Confidence Lead

Nicolas Hague D

Player Goals

under 0.5

D Pair 1 Projected

Expected Value +0.0%

Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line

Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

ESPN BET

-3500

Projection0.03

Probability97.3%

Edge+0.0%

EV+0.0%

Projection run 11129 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 61

Discovery 23.09

Line Deployment

D Pair 1 LD

Nicolas Hague LD · Lead

Roman Josi RD

PP unit not loaded

Power-play teammates not available for this snapshot.

Recent Form

Player Goals

0.0 Season

0.0 Last 10

0.0 Last 5

0.0 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 0 0 0 3

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 0 0 0 1

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 0 0 1 4

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 0 0 0 1

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 0 0 0 0

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 5/5 (100 %)

Last 10 5/5 (100 %)

Last 5 5/5 (100 %)

Last 3 3/3 (100 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

ESPN BET -3500 Best Price

1 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

ESPN BET Exact book · main line

First Captured Under 0.5 · -3500

Current Under 0.5 · -3500

Best Observed Under 0.5 · -3500

Shortest Observed Under 0.5 · -3500

Net Movement No recorded change

Tracked 1 captured state · since Oct 13, 7:13 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.47 below the posted line • L1 LD deployment • 0.0 goals average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Value Available — High Confidence — Model probability >= 75% and confidence >= 60; not Elite/Strong. Model estimate, not a guarantee.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

Lead to Watch Waiting for Value

Jack Drury C

Player Goals

under 0.5

Line 4 Projected

Current Price -1600

Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line

Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

ESPN BET

-1600

Projection0.08

Probability92.5%

Edge-1.7%

EV-1.8%

Projection run 11129 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 61

Discovery 22.80

Line Deployment

Line 4 C

Reid Schaefer LW

Jack Drury C · Lead

Adam Edstrom RW

PP unit not loaded

Power-play teammates not available for this snapshot.

Recent Form

Player Goals

0.0 Season

0.0 Last 10

0.0 Last 5

0.0 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 0 0 1 2

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 2 1

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 0 0 1 2

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 0 0 0 1

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 0 0 0 1

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 5/5 (100 %)

Last 10 5/5 (100 %)

Last 5 5/5 (100 %)

Last 3 3/3 (100 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

ESPN BET -1600 Best Price

1 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

ESPN BET Exact book · main line

First Captured Under 0.5 · -1600

Current Under 0.5 · -1600

Best Observed Under 0.5 · -1400

Shortest Observed Under 0.5 · -1600

Net Movement No recorded change

Tracked 3 captured states · since Oct 13, 7:13 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.42 below the posted line • L4 C deployment • 0.0 goals average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Waiting for Value — High Confidence — Model probability >= 75% and confidence >= 60; not Elite/Strong. Model estimate, not a guarantee.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

Lead to Watch Waiting for Value

Roman Josi D

Player Goals

under 0.5

Power Play 1 D Pair 1 Projected

Current Price -671

Last 5 1.6 ▲ 1.1 above line

Last 10 1.6 ▲ 1.1 above line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

Pinnacle

-671

Projection0.18

Probability83.8%

Edge-3.3%

EV-3.7%

Projection run 11129 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 61

Discovery 22.37

Line Deployment

D Pair 1 RD

Nicolas Hague LD

Roman Josi RD · Lead

PP1

Roman Josi D · Lead

Recent Form

Player Goals

1.6 Season

1.6 Last 10

1.6 Last 5

1.7 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 2 5

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 2 2

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 1 2

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 0 2

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 3 0

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 4/5 (80 %)

Last 10 4/5 (80 %)

Last 5 4/5 (80 %)

Last 3 3/3 (100 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

Pinnacle -671 Best Price

ESPN BET -800

2 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

Pinnacle Exact book · main line

First Captured Under 0.5 · -671

Current Under 0.5 · -671

Best Observed Under 0.5 · -671

Shortest Observed Under 0.5 · -671

Net Movement No recorded change

Tracked 1 captured state · since Oct 13, 10:42 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.32 below the posted line • L1 RD deployment • PP1 usage • 1.6 goals average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Waiting for Value — High Confidence — Model probability >= 75% and confidence >= 60; not Elite/Strong. Model estimate, not a guarantee.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

Lead to Watch Waiting for Value

Alexander Kerfoot C

Player Goals

under 0.5

Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected

Current Price -1000

Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line

Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

ESPN BET

-1000

Projection0.18

Probability83.8%

Edge-7.1%

EV-7.8%

Projection run 11129 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 61

Discovery 22.37

Line Deployment

Line 3 RW

Ross Colton LW

Alexander Kerfoot RW · Lead

PP2

Alexander Kerfoot C · Lead

Recent Form

Player Goals

0.2 Season

0.2 Last 10

0.2 Last 5

0.3 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 0 2

Oct 8 @ MTL 1 0

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 0 0 1 0

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 1 1

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 0 0 1 1

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 4/5 (80 %)

Last 10 4/5 (80 %)

Last 5 4/5 (80 %)

Last 3 2/3 (67 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

ESPN BET -1000 Best Price

1 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

ESPN BET Exact book · main line

First Captured Under 0.5 · -1200

Current Under 0.5 · -1000

Best Observed Under 0.5 · -1000

Shortest Observed Under 0.5 · -1200

Net Movement Price -1200 → -1000

Tracked 2 captured states · since Oct 13, 7:13 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.32 below the posted line • L3 RW deployment • PP2 usage • 0.2 goals average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Waiting for Value — High Confidence — Model probability >= 75% and confidence >= 60; not Elite/Strong. Model estimate, not a guarantee.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

Lead to Watch Waiting for Value

Ross Colton C

Player Goals

under 0.5

Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected

Current Price -900

Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line

Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

ESPN BET

-900

Projection0.19

Probability82.8%

Edge-7.2%

EV-8.0%

Projection run 11129 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 61

Discovery 22.32

Line Deployment

Line 3 LW

Ross Colton LW · Lead

Alexander Kerfoot RW

PP2

Ross Colton C · Lead

Recent Form

Player Goals

0.2 Season

0.2 Last 10

0.2 Last 5

0.3 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 1 2

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 1 1

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 0 0 2 0

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 0 0 0 2

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 0 0 2 0

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 4/5 (80 %)

Last 10 4/5 (80 %)

Last 5 4/5 (80 %)

Last 3 2/3 (67 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

ESPN BET -900 Best Price

1 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

ESPN BET Exact book · main line

First Captured Under 0.5 · -1000

Current Under 0.5 · -900

Best Observed Under 0.5 · -900

Shortest Observed Under 0.5 · -1000

Net Movement Price -1000 → -900

Tracked 2 captured states · since Oct 13, 7:13 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.31 below the posted line • L3 LW deployment • PP2 usage • 0.2 goals average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Waiting for Value — High Confidence — Model probability >= 75% and confidence >= 60; not Elite/Strong. Model estimate, not a guarantee.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

Lead to Watch Waiting for Value

Matthew Wood R

Player Goals

under 0.5

Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected

Current Price -500

Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line

Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

ESPN BET

-500

Projection0.19

Probability82.4%

Edge-0.9%

EV-1.1%

Projection run 11129 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 61

Discovery 22.30

Line Deployment

Line 2 C

Filip Forsberg LW

Matthew Wood C · Lead

Nils Hoglander RW

PP1

Steven Stamkos C

Filip Forsberg L

Matthew Wood R · Lead

Roman Josi D

Recent Form

Player Goals

0.2 Season

0.2 Last 10

0.2 Last 5

0.3 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 0 0 4 0

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 1 0

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 1 0

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 0 0 3 0

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 0 0 0 1

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 4/5 (80 %)

Last 10 4/5 (80 %)

Last 5 4/5 (80 %)

Last 3 2/3 (67 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

ESPN BET -500 Best Price

Pinnacle -500

2 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

ESPN BET Exact book · main line

First Captured Under 0.5 · -500

Current Under 0.5 · -500

Best Observed Under 0.5 · -500

Shortest Observed Under 0.5 · -500

Net Movement No recorded change

Tracked 1 captured state · since Oct 13, 7:13 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.31 below the posted line • L2 C deployment • PP1 usage • 0.2 goals average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Waiting for Value — High Confidence — Model probability >= 75% and confidence >= 60; not Elite/Strong. Model estimate, not a guarantee.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

Value Lead

Jonathan Marchessault C

Player Points

under 0.5

Power Play 2 Line 1 Projected

Expected Value +55.4%

Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line

Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

Bally Bet

-109

Projection0.21

Probability81.0%

Edge+28.9%

EV+55.4%

Projection run 11131 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 58

Discovery 61.64

Line Deployment

Line 1 RW

Steven Stamkos LW

Jonathan Marchessault RW · Lead

PP2

Jonathan Marchessault C · Lead

Recent Form

Player Points

0.2 Season

0.2 Last 10

0.2 Last 5

0.3 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 3 0

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 0 0 0 0

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 0 0 2 0

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 0 0 3 0

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 0 0 0 0

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 4/5 (80 %)

Last 10 4/5 (80 %)

Last 5 4/5 (80 %)

Last 3 2/3 (67 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

Bally Bet -109 Best Price

DraftKings -110

ESPN BET -110

Hard Rock Bet -115

BetOnline -116

Pinnacle -118

BetMGM -125

fliff -125

8 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

Bally Bet Exact book · main line

First Captured Under 0.5 · -108

Current Under 0.5 · -109

Best Observed Under 0.5 · -108

Shortest Observed Under 0.5 · -110

Net Movement Price -108 → -109

Tracked 4 captured states · since Oct 13, 7:29 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.29 below the posted line • L1 RW deployment • PP2 usage • 0.2 points average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Value Available — Value — Discovery >= 50, model confidence >= 50, and positive modeled edge/EV; not an earlier bucket.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

Value Lead

Juuse Saros G

Player Saves

over 25.5

Line G

Expected Value +39.2%

Last 5 29.8 ▲ 4.3 above line

Last 10 29.8 ▲ 4.3 above line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

Hard Rock Bet

-110

Projection28.88

Probability72.9%

Edge+20.5%

EV+39.2%

Projection run 11133 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 78

Discovery 55.64

Recent Form

Player Saves

29.8 Season

29.8 Last 10

29.8 Last 5

30.7 Last 3

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season Not calculated

Last 10 Not calculated

Last 5 Not calculated

Last 3 Not calculated

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Opponent Shots For

Season--

Last 10--

Last 5--

Last 3--

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

Hard Rock Bet -110 Best Price

1 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

Hard Rock Bet Exact book · main line

First Captured Over 25.5 · -110

Current Over 25.5 · -110

Best Observed Over 25.5 · -110

Shortest Observed Over 25.5 · -110

Net Movement No recorded change

Tracked 1 captured state · since Oct 13, 12:01 PM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 3.38 above the posted line • 29.8 saves average over the last 10 • opponent shots for 31.6 (L10) • Value Available — Value — Discovery >= 50, model confidence >= 50, and positive modeled edge/EV; not an earlier bucket.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

Value Lead

Ross Colton C

Player Shots On Goal

under 1.5

Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected

Expected Value +41.4%

Last 5 0.2 ▼ 1.3 below line

Last 10 0.2 ▼ 1.3 below line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

DraftKings

+105

Projection1.13

Probability69.0%

Edge+20.2%

EV+41.4%

Projection run 11128 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 63

Discovery 51.51

Line Deployment

Line 3 LW

Ross Colton LW · Lead

Alexander Kerfoot RW

PP2

Ross Colton C · Lead

Recent Form

Player Shots On Goal

0.2 Season

0.2 Last 10

0.2 Last 5

0.3 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 1 2

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 1 1

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 0 0 2 0

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 0 0 0 2

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 0 0 2 0

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 3/5 (60 %)

Last 10 3/5 (60 %)

Last 5 3/5 (60 %)

Last 3 2/3 (67 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Shots Against / Game

Season24.6

Last 1024.6

Last 525.2

Last 326.3

NHL Rank 25th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

DraftKings +105 Best Price

BetOnline +105

ESPN BET +100

fliff -105

Pinnacle -106

Bally Bet -109

Hard Rock Bet -120

7 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

DraftKings Exact book · main line

First Captured Under 1.5 · -115

Current Under 1.5 · +105

Best Observed Under 1.5 · +110

Shortest Observed Under 1.5 · -125

Net Movement Price -115 → +105

Tracked 7 captured states · since Oct 13, 4:49 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.37 below the posted line • L3 LW deployment • PP2 usage • 0.2 sog average over the last 10 • opponent shots allowed 24.6 (L10) • Value Available — Value — Discovery >= 50, model confidence >= 50, and positive modeled edge/EV; not an earlier bucket.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

Value Lead

Steven Stamkos C

Player Assists

over 0.5

Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected

Expected Value +45.4%

Last 5 1.4 ▲ 0.9 above line

Last 10 1.4 ▲ 0.9 above line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

Bovada

+160

Projection0.82

Probability55.9%

Edge+17.5%

EV+45.4%

Projection run 11130 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 64

Discovery 51.06

Line Deployment

Line 1 LW

Steven Stamkos LW · Lead

Jonathan Marchessault RW

PP1

Steven Stamkos C · Lead

Recent Form

Player Assists

1.4 Season

1.4 Last 10

1.4 Last 5

1.7 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 0 2

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 2 0

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 3 1

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 4 0

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 1 0

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 3/5 (60 %)

Last 10 3/5 (60 %)

Last 5 3/5 (60 %)

Last 3 2/3 (67 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

Bovada +160 Best Price

Fanatics +155

FanDuel +152

Pinnacle +152

DraftKings +150

BetOnline +150

fliff +150

ESPN BET +145

bet365 +130

BetMGM +125

11 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

Bovada Exact book · main line

First Captured Over 0.5 · +160

Current Over 0.5 · +160

Best Observed Over 0.5 · +160

Shortest Observed Over 0.5 · +160

Net Movement No recorded change

Tracked 1 captured state · since Oct 13, 5:21 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.32 above the posted line • L1 LW deployment • PP1 usage • 1.4 assists average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Value Available — Value — Discovery >= 50, model confidence >= 50, and positive modeled edge/EV; not an earlier bucket.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

Watch Lead

Brady Skjei D

Player Shots On Goal

under 1.5

Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected

Expected Value +46.8%

Last 5 0.0 ▼ 1.5 below line

Last 10 0.0 ▼ 1.5 below line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

Hard Rock Bet

-155

Projection0.56

Probability89.2%

Edge+28.4%

EV+46.8%

Projection run 11128 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 47

Discovery 55.05

Line Deployment

D Pair 2 LD

Brady Skjei LD · Lead

Nick Perbix RD

PP2

Ross Colton C

Brady Skjei D · Lead

Recent Form

Player Shots On Goal

0.0 Season

0.0 Last 10

0.0 Last 5

0.0 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 0 0 1 0

Oct 8 @ MTL 0 0 0

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 0 0

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 0 0 2 2

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 0 0 0 1

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 4/5 (80 %)

Last 10 4/5 (80 %)

Last 5 4/5 (80 %)

Last 3 3/3 (100 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Shots Against / Game

Season24.6

Last 1024.6

Last 525.2

Last 326.3

NHL Rank 25th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

Hard Rock Bet -155 Best Price

BetOnline -156

DraftKings -160

ESPN BET -170

fliff -170

Bally Bet -175

6 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

Hard Rock Bet Exact book · main line

First Captured Under 1.5 · -130

Current Under 1.5 · -155

Best Observed Under 1.5 · -130

Shortest Observed Under 1.5 · -155

Net Movement Price -130 → -155

Tracked 3 captured states · since Oct 13, 10:09 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.94 below the posted line • L2 LD deployment • PP2 usage • 0.0 sog average over the last 10 • opponent shots allowed 24.6 (L10) • Value Available — Watch — Model confidence below 50; signal retained for research.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

Watch Lead

Juuse Saros G

Player Saves

over 26.5

Line G

Expected Value +31.1%

Last 5 29.8 ▲ 3.3 above line

Last 10 29.8 ▲ 3.3 above line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

FanDuel

-102

Projection28.88

Probability66.2%

Edge+15.7%

EV+31.1%

Projection run 11133 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 78

Discovery 49.04

Recent Form

Player Saves

29.8 Season

29.8 Last 10

29.8 Last 5

30.7 Last 3

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season Not calculated

Last 10 Not calculated

Last 5 Not calculated

Last 3 Not calculated

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Opponent Shots For

Season--

Last 10--

Last 5--

Last 3--

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

FanDuel -102 Best Price

DraftKings -110

ESPN BET -110

fliff -120

4 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

FanDuel Exact book · main line

First Captured Over 26.5 · -130

Current Over 26.5 · -102

Best Observed Over 26.5 · -102

Shortest Observed Over 26.5 · -132

Net Movement Price -130 → -102

Tracked 4 captured states · since Oct 13, 2:57 PM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 2.38 above the posted line • 29.8 saves average over the last 10 • opponent shots for 31.6 (L10) • Value Available — Watch — Does not meet an earlier presentation bucket.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

Watch Lead

Alexander Kerfoot C

Player Points

over 0.5

Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected

Expected Value +37.1%

Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line

Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

Bally Bet

+150

Projection0.79

Probability54.8%

Edge+14.8%

EV+37.1%

Projection run 11131 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 61

Discovery 45.13

Line Deployment

Line 3 RW

Ross Colton LW

Alexander Kerfoot RW · Lead

PP2

Alexander Kerfoot C · Lead

Recent Form

Player Points

0.2 Season

0.2 Last 10

0.2 Last 5

0.3 Last 3

Recent Games Click G, A or PTS for scoring details

Date Opp G A PTS SOG BLK

Oct 10 @ OTT 0 0 2

Oct 8 @ MTL 1 0

Oct 6 @ TOR 0 0 0 1 0

Oct 3 vs DAL 0 1 1

Oct 1 vs MIN 0 0 0 1 1

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season 3/5 (60 %)

Last 10 3/5 (60 %)

Last 5 3/5 (60 %)

Last 3 2/3 (67 %)

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Goals Against / Game

Season2.6

Last 102.6

Last 52.4

Last 32.7

NHL Rank 24th most allowed

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

Bally Bet +150 Best Price

betrivers +150

BetOnline +141

Fanatics +140

DraftKings +135

5 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

Bally Bet Exact book · main line

First Captured Over 0.5 · +163

Current Over 0.5 · +150

Best Observed Over 0.5 · +165

Shortest Observed Over 0.5 · +150

Net Movement Price +163 → +150

Tracked 6 captured states · since Oct 13, 7:29 AM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 0.29 above the posted line • L3 RW deployment • PP2 usage • 0.2 points average over the last 10 • opponent goals allowed 2.6 (L10) • Value Available — Watch — Does not meet an earlier presentation bucket.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

Watch Lead

Juuse Saros G

Player Saves

over 27.5

Line G

Expected Value +23.9%

Last 5 29.8 ▲ 2.3 above line

Last 10 29.8 ▲ 2.3 above line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

BetOnline

+110

Projection28.88

Probability59.0%

Edge+11.4%

EV+23.9%

Projection run 11133 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 78

Discovery 43.12

Recent Form

Player Saves

29.8 Season

29.8 Last 10

29.8 Last 5

30.7 Last 3

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season Not calculated

Last 10 Not calculated

Last 5 Not calculated

Last 3 Not calculated

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Opponent Shots For

Season--

Last 10--

Last 5--

Last 3--

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886

Best Odds Comparison

BetOnline +110 Best Price

Pinnacle +106

Bovada -105

3 currently checked sportsbook price(s) for this exact line.

Line Movement

BetOnline Exact book · main line

First Captured Over 28.5 · +110

Current Over 27.5 · +110

Best Observed Over 28.5 · +110

Shortest Observed Over 27.5 · +103

Net Movement Line 28.5 → 27.5

Tracked 3 captured states · since Oct 13, 12:17 PM ET

Model Insight

Projection is 1.38 above the posted line • 29.8 saves average over the last 10 • opponent shots for 31.6 (L10) • Value Available — Watch — Does not meet an earlier presentation bucket.

NSH vs VGK

8:45 PM Open Game Center

Watch Lead

Juuse Saros G

Player Saves

over 29.5

Line G

Expected Value +28.2%

Last 5 29.8 ▲ 0.3 above line

Last 10 29.8 ▲ 0.3 above line

Venue Home

Opponent vs VGK

Best Price

bet365

+190

Projection28.88

Probability44.2%

Edge+9.7%

EV+28.2%

Projection run 11133 Price checked 23:14 UTC DiscoveryV0.1

Confidence 78

Discovery 43.05

Recent Form

Player Saves

29.8 Season

29.8 Last 10

29.8 Last 5

30.7 Last 3

Hit Rate at Current Line

Season Not calculated

Last 10 Not calculated

Last 5 Not calculated

Last 3 Not calculated

View Player History

Matchup

vs Vegas Golden Knights

Team Defense

Opponent Shots For

Season--

Last 10--

Last 5--

Last 3--

Expected Goalie Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Save % .886