Model opportunities

NHL Player Prop Leads

Discover model-supported opportunities, compare prices, and explore the evidence. Leads, not locks.

Pregame Model board

71 Active Leads

Updated 14 books represented Best book only 1344 total active
Elite 0
Strong 4
High Confidence29
Value4
Watch 34
Discovery V0.1 Latest completed Discovery V0.1 board • 30-minute refresh target • price age is shown on each Lead. Probability and EV are model estimates, not guarantees. High Confidence describes an outcome category; it is not a higher value tier. Refresh board
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Showing 25 of 71 matching leads from 1344 active public leads
Jesper Boqvist
NJD @ DET
6:00 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Jesper Boqvist C
Player Goals
over 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Expected Value +382.9%
Last 5 0.7 ≈ +0.2 vs line
Last 10 0.7 ≈ +0.2 vs line
Venue Away
Opponent @ DET
Best Price
FanDuel
+850
Projection0.71
Probability50.8%
Edge+40.3%
EV+382.9%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 57
Discovery 84.69
Nils Hoglander
NSH vs VGK
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Nils Hoglander L
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +121.7%
Last 5 0.6 ≈ +0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.6 ≈ +0.1 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs VGK
Best Price
BetOnline
+400
Projection0.59
Probability44.3%
Edge+24.3%
EV+121.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 75.61
Adam Edstrom
NSH vs VGK
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Adam Edstrom C
Player Goals
over 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Expected Value +169.7%
Last 5 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs VGK
Best Price
fliff
+715
Projection0.40
Probability33.1%
Edge+20.8%
EV+169.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 72.85
Filip Forsberg
NSH vs VGK
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Filip Forsberg L
Player Shots On Goal
under 2.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +68.3%
Last 5 1.8 ▼ 0.7 below line
Last 10 1.8 ▼ 0.7 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs VGK
Best Price
Bovada
+120
Projection1.67
Probability76.5%
Edge+31.1%
EV+68.3%
Projection run 11102 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 67
Discovery 70.66
Timo Meier
NJD @ DET
6:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Timo Meier R
Player Shots On Goal
over 2.5
Power Play 2 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +37.5%
Last 5 4.6 ▲ 2.1 above line
Last 10 4.6 ▲ 2.1 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ DET
Best Price
DraftKings
-140
Projection4.30
Probability80.2%
Edge+21.9%
EV+37.5%
Projection run 11102 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 63
Discovery 51.60
Luke Hughes
NJD @ DET
6:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Luke Hughes D
Player Shots On Goal
over 1.5
Power Play 1 D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +34.4%
Last 5 3.2 ▲ 1.7 above line
Last 10 3.2 ▲ 1.7 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ DET
Best Price
Bovada
-150
Projection3.04
Probability80.7%
Edge+20.7%
EV+34.4%
Projection run 11102 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 67
Discovery 50.81
Roman Josi
NSH vs VGK
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Roman Josi D
Player Shots On Goal
under 2.5
Power Play 1 D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +35.8%
Last 5 1.6 ▼ 0.9 below line
Last 10 1.6 ▼ 0.9 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs VGK
Best Price
DraftKings
-150
Projection1.48
Probability81.5%
Edge+21.5%
EV+35.8%
Projection run 11102 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 63
Discovery 50.72
Jesper Bratt
NJD @ DET
6:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Jesper Bratt L
Player Shots On Goal
over 1.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +34.4%
Last 5 3.4 ▲ 1.9 above line
Last 10 3.4 ▲ 1.9 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ DET
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
-160
Projection3.19
Probability82.7%
Edge+21.2%
EV+34.4%
Projection run 11102 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 63
Discovery 50.06
Jack Hughes
NJD @ DET
6:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Jack Hughes C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +23.5%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ DET
Best Price
ESPN BET
-200
Projection0.19
Probability82.3%
Edge+15.7%
EV+23.5%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 41.47
Dougie Hamilton
NJD @ DET
6:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Dougie Hamilton D
Player Shots On Goal
over 1.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Expected Value +16.8%
Last 5 3.0 ▲ 1.5 above line
Last 10 3.0 ▲ 1.5 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ DET
Best Price
Bovada
-190
Projection2.78
Probability76.5%
Edge+11.0%
EV+16.8%
Projection run 11102 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 63
Discovery 36.34
Ryan O'Reilly
NSH vs VGK
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Ryan O'Reilly C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +11.3%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs VGK
Best Price
ESPN BET
-300
Projection0.18
Probability83.5%
Edge+8.5%
EV+11.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 32.21
Timo Meier
NJD @ DET
6:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Timo Meier R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +8.2%
Last 5 4.6 ▲ 4.1 above line
Last 10 4.6 ▲ 4.1 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ DET
Best Price
ESPN BET
-300
Projection0.21
Probability81.1%
Edge+6.1%
EV+8.2%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 29.32
Brady Skjei
NSH vs VGK
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Brady Skjei D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Expected Value +4.2%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs VGK
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1600
Projection0.02
Probability98.1%
Edge+3.9%
EV+4.2%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 27.21
Evan Rodrigues
NJD @ DET
6:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Evan Rodrigues C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +2.3%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ DET
Best Price
ESPN BET
-800
Projection0.09
Probability91.0%
Edge+2.1%
EV+2.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 24.97
Adam Wilsby
NSH vs VGK
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Adam Wilsby D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +1.6%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs VGK
Best Price
ESPN BET
-4000
Projection0.01
Probability99.1%
Edge+1.6%
EV+1.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 24.74
Jesper Bratt
NJD @ DET
6:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Jesper Bratt L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +2.6%
Last 5 3.4 ▲ 2.9 above line
Last 10 3.4 ▲ 2.9 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ DET
Best Price
ESPN BET
-390
Projection0.20
Probability81.6%
Edge+2.0%
EV+2.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 24.56
Brett Pesce
NJD @ DET
6:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Brett Pesce D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +1.4%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ DET
Best Price
ESPN BET
-3500
Projection0.01
Probability98.6%
Edge+1.4%
EV+1.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 24.56
Jonathan Marchessault
NSH vs VGK
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Jonathan Marchessault C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +2.3%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs VGK
Best Price
Pinnacle
-426
Projection0.19
Probability82.9%
Edge+1.9%
EV+2.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 24.45
Nick Perbix
NSH vs VGK
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Nick Perbix D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 2 Projected
Expected Value +0.5%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs VGK
Best Price
ESPN BET
-4000
Projection0.02
Probability98.0%
Edge+0.5%
EV+0.5%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 23.57
Nicolas Hague
NSH vs VGK
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Nicolas Hague D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +0.0%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs VGK
Best Price
ESPN BET
-3500
Projection0.03
Probability97.3%
Edge+0.0%
EV+0.0%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 23.09
Declan Chisholm
NJD @ DET
6:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Declan Chisholm D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 3 Projected
Current Price -5000
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ DET
Best Price
ESPN BET
-5000
Projection0.02
Probability97.9%
Edge-0.1%
EV-0.1%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 23.08
Brenden Dillon
NJD @ DET
6:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Brenden Dillon D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 3 Projected
Current Price -5000
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ DET
Best Price
ESPN BET
-5000
Projection0.02
Probability97.9%
Edge-0.1%
EV-0.1%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 23.08
Jack Drury
NSH vs VGK
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Jack Drury C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Current Price -1600
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs VGK
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1600
Projection0.08
Probability92.5%
Edge-1.7%
EV-1.8%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.80
Dawson Mercer
NJD @ DET
6:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Dawson Mercer C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Current Price -700
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ DET
Best Price
ESPN BET
-700
Projection0.16
Probability85.0%
Edge-2.5%
EV-2.9%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.43
Cody Glass
NJD @ DET
6:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Cody Glass C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Current Price -900
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ DET
Best Price
ESPN BET
-900
Projection0.17
Probability84.0%
Edge-6.0%
EV-6.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.38
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