Model opportunities

NHL Player Prop Leads

Discover model-supported opportunities, compare prices, and explore the evidence. Leads, not locks.

Pregame Model board

76 Active Leads

Updated 9 books represented Best book only 1054 total active
Elite 0
Strong 4
High Confidence27
Value5
Watch 40
Discovery V0.1 Latest completed Discovery V0.1 board • 30-minute refresh target • price age is shown on each Lead. Probability and EV are model estimates, not guarantees. High Confidence describes an outcome category; it is not a higher value tier. Refresh board
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Showing 25 of 76 matching leads from 1054 active public leads
Eeli Tolvanen
NYR vs TBL
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Eeli Tolvanen R
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +118.0%
Last 5 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs TBL
Best Price
fliff
+555
Projection0.40
Probability33.3%
Edge+18.0%
EV+118.0%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 72.13
Aydar Suniev
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Aydar Suniev L
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +110.7%
Last 5 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Last 10 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
fliff
+470
Projection0.46
Probability37.0%
Edge+19.4%
EV+110.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 55
Discovery 70.62
Kevin Bahl
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Kevin Bahl D
Player Goals
over 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +204.9%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
BetOnline
+1900
Projection0.17
Probability15.2%
Edge+10.2%
EV+204.9%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 65.35
Alexis Lafrenière
NYR vs TBL
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Alexis Lafrenière L
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +75.7%
Last 5 1.0 ▲ 0.5 above line
Last 10 0.7 ≈ +0.2 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs TBL
Best Price
FanDuel
+260
Projection0.67
Probability48.8%
Edge+21.0%
EV+75.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 65.09
Pavel Dorofeyev
NYR vs TBL
7:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Pavel Dorofeyev R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +21.9%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs TBL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-250
Projection0.14
Probability87.1%
Edge+15.7%
EV+21.9%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 42.14
Mika Zibanejad
NYR vs TBL
7:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Mika Zibanejad C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +20.1%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs TBL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-275
Projection0.13
Probability88.1%
Edge+14.7%
EV+20.1%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 40.87
Sean Durzi
NYR vs TBL
7:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Sean Durzi D
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Expected Value +11.5%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs TBL
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
-350
Projection0.14
Probability86.7%
Edge+8.9%
EV+11.5%
Projection run 11096 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 33.08
J.T. Miller
NYR vs TBL
7:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
J.T. Miller C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +10.5%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs TBL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-390
Projection0.13
Probability87.9%
Edge+8.4%
EV+10.5%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 33.03
Matt Coronato
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Matt Coronato R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +8.2%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
FanDuel
-340
Projection0.18
Probability83.6%
Edge+6.3%
EV+8.2%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 29.61
Martin Pospisil
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Martin Pospisil C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +5.6%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1200
Projection0.03
Probability97.5%
Edge+5.2%
EV+5.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 28.51
Joel Farabee
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Joel Farabee L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +6.4%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
FanDuel
-420
Projection0.15
Probability86.0%
Edge+5.2%
EV+6.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 28.31
Eeli Tolvanen
NYR vs TBL
7:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Eeli Tolvanen R
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +4.6%
Last 5 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs TBL
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
-500
Projection0.14
Probability87.2%
Edge+3.8%
EV+4.6%
Projection run 11096 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 27.21
Matvei Gridin
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Matvei Gridin R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +4.7%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-650
Projection0.10
Probability90.7%
Edge+4.1%
EV+4.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 27.14
Marcus Pettersson
NYR vs TBL
7:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Marcus Pettersson D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Expected Value +1.8%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs TBL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2800
Projection0.02
Probability98.3%
Edge+1.8%
EV+1.8%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 25.97
Braden Schneider
NYR vs TBL
7:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Braden Schneider D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +1.7%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs TBL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-3500
Projection0.01
Probability98.9%
Edge+1.7%
EV+1.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 25.90
Noah Laba
NYR vs TBL
7:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Noah Laba C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +2.0%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs TBL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1200
Projection0.06
Probability94.1%
Edge+1.8%
EV+2.0%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 25.84
Adam Fox
NYR vs TBL
7:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Adam Fox D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +1.1%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs TBL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1000
Projection0.08
Probability91.9%
Edge+1.0%
EV+1.1%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 24.92
Yegor Sharangovich
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Yegor Sharangovich C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +2.2%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-700
Projection0.11
Probability89.4%
Edge+1.9%
EV+2.2%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 24.74
Jake Middleton
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Jake Middleton D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +1.3%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-4000
Projection0.01
Probability98.9%
Edge+1.3%
EV+1.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 24.46
Zayne Parekh
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Zayne Parekh D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +1.0%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1400
Projection0.06
Probability94.3%
Edge+0.9%
EV+1.0%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 23.87
Sean Durzi
NYR vs TBL
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Sean Durzi D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Current Price -2000
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs TBL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2000
Projection0.12
Probability88.3%
Edge-7.0%
EV-7.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 23.63
Vladislav Gavrikov
NYR vs TBL
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Vladislav Gavrikov D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 1 Projected
Current Price -2000
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs TBL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2000
Projection0.13
Probability88.2%
Edge-7.0%
EV-7.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 23.62
Zach Whitecloud
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Zach Whitecloud D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 2 Projected
Expected Value +0.3%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-4000
Projection0.02
Probability97.9%
Edge+0.3%
EV+0.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 23.39
Jaroslav Chmelar
NYR vs TBL
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Jaroslav Chmelar R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Current Price -1400
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs TBL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1400
Projection0.08
Probability92.7%
Edge-0.6%
EV-0.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 23.33
Tye Kartye
NYR vs TBL
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Tye Kartye L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 2 Projected
Current Price -1000
Last 5 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.3 ≈ -0.2 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs TBL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1000
Projection0.25
Probability78.1%
Edge-12.8%
EV-14.1%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 23.12
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