Model opportunities

NHL Player Prop Leads

Discover model-supported opportunities, compare prices, and explore the evidence. Leads, not locks.

Pregame Model board

68 Active Leads

Updated 14 books represented Best book only 270 total active
Elite 0
Strong 1
High Confidence15
Value7
Watch 44
Discovery V0.1 Latest completed Discovery V0.1 board • 30-minute refresh target • price age is shown on each Lead. Probability and EV are model estimates, not guarantees. High Confidence describes an outcome category; it is not a higher value tier. Refresh board
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Showing 25 of 68 matching leads from 270 active public leads
Michael Misa
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Michael Misa C
Player Assists
over 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +93.0%
Last 5 0.6 ≈ +0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.6 ≈ +0.1 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
BetOnline
+350
Projection0.56
Probability42.9%
Edge+20.7%
EV+93.0%
Projection run 11130 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 71.45
Macklin Celebrini
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Macklin Celebrini C
Player Assists
over 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +52.0%
Last 5 1.7 ▲ 1.2 above line
Last 10 1.7 ▲ 1.2 above line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
BetOnline
-114
Projection1.66
Probability81.0%
Edge+27.7%
EV+52.0%
Projection run 11130 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 60
Discovery 60.14
Kiefer Sherwood
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Kiefer Sherwood L
Player Shots On Goal
under 1.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +46.9%
Last 5 1.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 1.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
-105
Projection0.95
Probability75.2%
Edge+24.0%
EV+46.9%
Projection run 11128 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 63
Discovery 56.44
Macklin Celebrini
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Macklin Celebrini C
Player Points
over 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +29.1%
Last 5 1.7 ▲ 1.2 above line
Last 10 1.7 ▲ 1.2 above line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
BetMGM
-220
Projection2.19
Probability88.8%
Edge+20.0%
EV+29.1%
Projection run 11131 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 60
Discovery 46.60
Darnell Nurse
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Darnell Nurse D
Player Points
under 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +12.8%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
Bally Bet
-275
Projection0.19
Probability82.7%
Edge+9.4%
EV+12.8%
Projection run 11131 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 33.43
Alexander Wennberg
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Alexander Wennberg C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +5.5%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
Pinnacle
-495
Projection0.13
Probability87.8%
Edge+4.6%
EV+5.5%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 27.67
Michael Misa
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Michael Misa C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +5.2%
Last 5 0.6 ≈ +0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.6 ≈ +0.1 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
Pinnacle
-559
Projection0.11
Probability89.2%
Edge+4.4%
EV+5.2%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 27.48
Barclay Goodrow
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Barclay Goodrow C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Expected Value +3.8%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1400
Projection0.03
Probability96.8%
Edge+3.5%
EV+3.8%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 26.72
Dmitry Orlov
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Dmitry Orlov D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +1.6%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2800
Projection0.02
Probability98.1%
Edge+1.6%
EV+1.6%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 24.72
Mason Marchment
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Mason Marchment L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +1.1%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
Pinnacle
-450
Projection0.19
Probability82.8%
Edge+0.9%
EV+1.1%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 23.36
Zack Ostapchuk
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Zack Ostapchuk C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Current Price -3500
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-3500
Projection0.04
Probability96.4%
Edge-0.8%
EV-0.8%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 23.00
Jacob Trouba
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Jacob Trouba D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Current Price -2500
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2500
Projection0.06
Probability93.8%
Edge-2.3%
EV-2.4%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.87
Collin Graf
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Collin Graf R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Current Price -900
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-900
Projection0.17
Probability84.6%
Edge-5.4%
EV-6.0%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.41
Kiefer Sherwood
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Kiefer Sherwood L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Current Price -750
Last 5 1.0 ▲ 0.5 above line
Last 10 1.0 ▲ 0.5 above line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-750
Projection0.17
Probability84.2%
Edge-4.0%
EV-4.6%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.39
Darnell Nurse
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Darnell Nurse D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Current Price -2500
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2500
Projection0.18
Probability83.9%
Edge-12.2%
EV-12.7%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.38
Luca Cagnoni
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Luca Cagnoni D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 D Pair 3 Projected
Current Price -1400
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1400
Projection0.18
Probability83.8%
Edge-9.5%
EV-10.2%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.37
Darnell Nurse
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Darnell Nurse D
Player Goals
over 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +92.8%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
BetOnline
+1100
Projection0.18
Probability16.1%
Edge+7.7%
EV+92.8%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 60.94
Will Smith
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Will Smith C
Player Shots On Goal
under 2.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +46.4%
Last 5 1.4 ▼ 1.1 below line
Last 10 1.4 ▼ 1.1 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
Bally Bet
-136
Projection1.36
Probability84.4%
Edge+26.8%
EV+46.4%
Projection run 11128 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 57
Discovery 56.62
Yaroslav Askarov
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Yaroslav Askarov G
Player Saves
under 25.5
Line G
Expected Value +40.2%
Last 5 23.0 ▼ 2.5 below line
Last 10 23.0 ▼ 2.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
-110
Projection22.63
Probability73.4%
Edge+21.0%
EV+40.2%
Projection run 11133 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 78
Discovery 56.34
Alexander Wennberg
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Alexander Wennberg C
Player Points
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +42.7%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-132
Projection0.21
Probability81.2%
Edge+24.3%
EV+42.7%
Projection run 11131 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 58
Discovery 53.75
Igor Chernyshov
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Igor Chernyshov L
Player Shots On Goal
under 1.5
Power Play 2 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +42.2%
Last 5 0.8 ▼ 0.7 below line
Last 10 0.8 ▼ 0.7 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
-135
Projection0.78
Probability81.7%
Edge+24.3%
EV+42.2%
Projection run 11128 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 52
Discovery 51.74
Michael Kesselring
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Michael Kesselring D
Player Shots On Goal
under 1.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +41.1%
Last 5 1.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 1.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
BetOnline
-114
Projection0.96
Probability75.2%
Edge+21.9%
EV+41.1%
Projection run 11128 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 59
Discovery 51.62
Mason Marchment
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Mason Marchment L
Player Points
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +39.1%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
BetMGM
-140
Projection0.21
Probability81.1%
Edge+22.8%
EV+39.1%
Projection run 11131 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 58
Discovery 51.35
Will Smith
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Watch Lead
Will Smith C
Player Shots On Goal
under 1.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +39.6%
Last 5 1.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Last 10 1.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
BetMGM
+130
Projection1.36
Probability60.7%
Edge+17.2%
EV+39.6%
Projection run 11128 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 57
Discovery 46.72
Tyler Toffoli
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Watch Lead
Tyler Toffoli C
Player Points
over 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +39.0%
Last 5 0.8 ▲ 0.3 above line
Last 10 0.8 ▲ 0.3 above line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
Fanatics
+150
Projection0.81
Probability55.6%
Edge+15.6%
EV+39.0%
Projection run 11131 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 46.46
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