Model opportunities

NHL Player Prop Leads

Discover model-supported opportunities, compare prices, and explore the evidence. Leads, not locks.

Pregame Model board

91 Active Leads

Updated 13 books represented Best book only 1344 total active
Elite 1
Strong 2
High Confidence14
Value8
Watch 66
Discovery V0.1 Latest completed Discovery V0.1 board • 30-minute refresh target • price age is shown on each Lead. Probability and EV are model estimates, not guarantees. High Confidence describes an outcome category; it is not a higher value tier. Refresh board
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Showing 25 of 91 matching leads from 1344 active public leads
Nikita Kucherov
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Elite Lead
Nikita Kucherov R
Player Shots On Goal
under 2.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +93.0%
Last 5 1.4 ▼ 1.1 below line
Last 10 1.4 ▼ 1.1 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
+125
Projection1.30
Probability85.8%
Edge+41.3%
EV+93.0%
Projection run 11102 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 63
Discovery 85.40
Brandon Hagel
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Brandon Hagel L
Player Shots On Goal
over 3.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +75.8%
Last 5 5.2 ▲ 1.7 above line
Last 10 5.2 ▲ 1.7 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
Fanatics
+145
Projection4.88
Probability71.8%
Edge+30.9%
EV+75.8%
Projection run 11102 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 67
Discovery 73.34
Brian Dumoulin
LAK vs EDM
10:30 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Brian Dumoulin D
Player Goals
over 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +199.4%
Last 5 0.3 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.3 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs EDM
Best Price
BetOnline
+1400
Projection0.22
Probability20.0%
Edge+13.3%
EV+199.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 59
Discovery 66.97
Brandon Hagel
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Brandon Hagel L
Player Shots On Goal
over 2.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +44.1%
Last 5 5.2 ▲ 2.7 above line
Last 10 5.2 ▲ 2.7 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
BetMGM
-150
Projection4.88
Probability86.5%
Edge+26.5%
EV+44.1%
Projection run 11102 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 67
Discovery 58.62
Alex Laferriere
LAK vs EDM
10:30 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Alex Laferriere R
Player Shots On Goal
under 2.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +31.6%
Last 5 1.8 ▼ 0.8 below line
Last 10 1.8 ▼ 0.8 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs EDM
Best Price
BetMGM
-140
Projection1.66
Probability76.8%
Edge+18.5%
EV+31.6%
Projection run 11102 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 60
Discovery 46.04
Nikita Kucherov
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Nikita Kucherov R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +28.9%
Last 5 1.4 ▲ 0.9 above line
Last 10 1.4 ▲ 0.9 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
FanDuel
-195
Projection0.16
Probability85.2%
Edge+19.1%
EV+28.9%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 45.92
Trevor Moore
LAK vs EDM
10:30 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Trevor Moore L
Player Shots On Goal
under 2.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +28.7%
Last 5 1.8 ▼ 0.8 below line
Last 10 1.8 ▼ 0.8 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs EDM
Best Price
ESPN BET
-150
Projection1.64
Probability77.2%
Edge+17.2%
EV+28.7%
Projection run 11102 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 45.32
Brayden Point
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Brayden Point C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +20.8%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
Pinnacle
-231
Projection0.17
Probability84.3%
Edge+14.5%
EV+20.8%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 39.77
Gage Goncalves
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Gage Goncalves C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +8.4%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
Pinnacle
-578
Projection0.08
Probability92.4%
Edge+7.2%
EV+8.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 30.65
Anthony Cirelli
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Anthony Cirelli C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +4.2%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
Pinnacle
-427
Projection0.17
Probability84.4%
Edge+3.4%
EV+4.2%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 26.16
Erik Cernak
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Erik Cernak D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 2 Projected
Expected Value +0.7%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
ESPN BET
-3500
Projection0.02
Probability97.9%
Edge+0.7%
EV+0.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 23.78
J.J. Moser
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
J.J. Moser D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 1 Projected
Current Price -2500
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2500
Projection0.05
Probability95.3%
Edge-0.8%
EV-0.9%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.95
Zemgus Girgensons
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Zemgus Girgensons C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 3 Projected
Current Price -2500
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2500
Projection0.06
Probability94.5%
Edge-1.7%
EV-1.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.90
Ryan McDonagh
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Ryan McDonagh D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Current Price -10000
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
ESPN BET
-10000
Projection0.06
Probability94.4%
Edge-4.6%
EV-4.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.90
Ilya Mikheyev
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Ilya Mikheyev R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Current Price -800
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
ESPN BET
-800
Projection0.16
Probability85.1%
Edge-3.8%
EV-4.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.43
Pontus Holmberg
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Pontus Holmberg R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Current Price -700
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
ESPN BET
-700
Projection0.17
Probability84.5%
Edge-3.0%
EV-3.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.41
Conor Geekie
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Conor Geekie C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 4 Projected
Current Price -800
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
ESPN BET
-800
Projection0.18
Probability83.3%
Edge-5.6%
EV-6.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.34
Artemi Panarin
LAK vs EDM
10:30 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Artemi Panarin L
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +62.5%
Last 5 0.3 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.3 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs EDM
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
+110
Projection0.26
Probability77.4%
Edge+29.7%
EV+62.5%
Projection run 11096 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 56
Discovery 64.24
Artemi Panarin
LAK vs EDM
10:30 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Artemi Panarin L
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +66.4%
Last 5 0.3 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.3 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs EDM
Best Price
FanDuel
+195
Projection0.83
Probability56.4%
Edge+22.5%
EV+66.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 59
Discovery 61.10
Artemi Panarin
LAK vs EDM
10:30 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Artemi Panarin L
Player Shots On Goal
over 2.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +49.8%
Last 5 0.3 ▼ 2.3 below line
Last 10 0.3 ▼ 2.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs EDM
Best Price
bet365
+120
Projection3.51
Probability68.1%
Edge+22.6%
EV+49.8%
Projection run 11102 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 56.67
Erik Haula
LAK vs EDM
10:30 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Erik Haula L
Player Assists
over 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +59.5%
Last 5 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Last 10 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs EDM
Best Price
BetOnline
+300
Projection0.51
Probability39.9%
Edge+14.9%
EV+59.5%
Projection run 11096 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 53.70
Erik Haula
LAK vs EDM
10:30 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Erik Haula L
Player Shots On Goal
over 1.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +44.3%
Last 5 0.5 ▼ 1.0 below line
Last 10 0.5 ▼ 1.0 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs EDM
Best Price
Bally Bet
+115
Projection2.31
Probability67.1%
Edge+20.6%
EV+44.3%
Projection run 11102 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 53.18
Ilya Mikheyev
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Ilya Mikheyev R
Player Shots On Goal
under 1.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +44.3%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 1.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 1.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
BetMGM
-110
Projection0.95
Probability75.6%
Edge+23.2%
EV+44.3%
Projection run 11102 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 52
Discovery 51.58
Brandon Hagel
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Brandon Hagel L
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +48.0%
Last 5 5.2 ▲ 4.7 above line
Last 10 5.2 ▲ 4.7 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
FanDuel
+170
Projection0.79
Probability54.8%
Edge+17.8%
EV+48.0%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 51.24
Max Crozier
TBL @ NYR
7:15 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Max Crozier D
Player Assists
over 0.5
D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +51.9%
Last 5 0.7 ≈ +0.2 vs line
Last 10 0.7 ≈ +0.2 vs line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYR
Best Price
BetMGM
+240
Projection0.59
Probability44.7%
Edge+15.3%
EV+51.9%
Projection run 11096 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 60
Discovery 50.56
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