Model opportunities

NHL Player Prop Leads

Discover model-supported opportunities, compare prices, and explore the evidence. Leads, not locks.

Pregame Model board

79 Active Leads

Updated 13 books represented Best book only 1344 total active
Elite 0
Strong 3
High Confidence23
Value9
Watch 44
Discovery V0.1 Latest completed Discovery V0.1 board • 30-minute refresh target • price age is shown on each Lead. Probability and EV are model estimates, not guarantees. High Confidence describes an outcome category; it is not a higher value tier. Refresh board
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Showing 25 of 79 matching leads from 1344 active public leads
Paul Cotter
VAN @ NYI
7:45 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Paul Cotter L
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +125.5%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.6 ≈ +0.1 vs line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYI
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
+475
Projection0.50
Probability39.2%
Edge+21.8%
EV+125.5%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 74.82
Macklin Celebrini
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Macklin Celebrini C
Player Assists
over 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +71.6%
Last 5 1.7 ▲ 1.2 above line
Last 10 1.7 ▲ 1.2 above line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
FanDuel
+112
Projection1.66
Probability81.0%
Edge+33.8%
EV+71.6%
Projection run 11096 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 60
Discovery 71.82
Michael Misa
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Michael Misa C
Player Assists
over 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +84.4%
Last 5 0.6 ≈ +0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.6 ≈ +0.1 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
bet365
+330
Projection0.56
Probability42.9%
Edge+19.6%
EV+84.4%
Projection run 11096 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 67.38
Kiefer Sherwood
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Kiefer Sherwood L
Player Shots On Goal
under 1.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +54.3%
Last 5 1.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 1.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
+105
Projection0.95
Probability75.2%
Edge+26.5%
EV+54.3%
Projection run 11102 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 63
Discovery 60.90
Marco Rossi
VAN @ NYI
7:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Marco Rossi C
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +28.8%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYI
Best Price
DraftKings
-205
Projection0.14
Probability86.6%
Edge+19.4%
EV+28.8%
Projection run 11096 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 46.57
Zeev Buium
VAN @ NYI
7:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Zeev Buium D
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +17.6%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYI
Best Price
BetMGM
-275
Projection0.15
Probability86.2%
Edge+12.9%
EV+17.6%
Projection run 11096 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 37.99
Brock Boeser
VAN @ NYI
7:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Brock Boeser R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +12.9%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYI
Best Price
FanDuel
-360
Projection0.12
Probability88.3%
Edge+10.1%
EV+12.9%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 35.07
Alexander Wennberg
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Alexander Wennberg C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +5.5%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
Pinnacle
-495
Projection0.13
Probability87.8%
Edge+4.6%
EV+5.5%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 27.67
Michael Misa
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Michael Misa C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +5.2%
Last 5 0.6 ≈ +0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.6 ≈ +0.1 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
Pinnacle
-559
Projection0.11
Probability89.2%
Edge+4.4%
EV+5.2%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 27.48
Filip Hronek
VAN @ NYI
7:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Filip Hronek D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +1.6%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYI
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1600
Projection0.04
Probability95.6%
Edge+1.5%
EV+1.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 25.56
Luke Schenn
VAN @ NYI
7:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Luke Schenn D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +1.8%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYI
Best Price
ESPN BET
-3500
Projection0.01
Probability99.0%
Edge+1.8%
EV+1.8%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 25.48
Dmitry Orlov
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Dmitry Orlov D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +1.6%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2800
Projection0.02
Probability98.1%
Edge+1.6%
EV+1.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 24.72
Zeev Buium
VAN @ NYI
7:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Zeev Buium D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 3 Projected
Current Price -5000
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYI
Best Price
ESPN BET
-5000
Projection0.03
Probability97.0%
Edge-1.1%
EV-1.1%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 24.06
Drew O'Connor
VAN @ NYI
7:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Drew O'Connor L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +0.1%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYI
Best Price
ESPN BET
-750
Projection0.12
Probability88.3%
Edge+0.1%
EV+0.1%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 23.75
Linus Karlsson
VAN @ NYI
7:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Linus Karlsson C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +0.1%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYI
Best Price
ESPN BET
-700
Projection0.13
Probability87.6%
Edge+0.1%
EV+0.1%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 23.71
Max Sasson
VAN @ NYI
7:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Max Sasson C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 4 Projected
Current Price -1600
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYI
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1600
Projection0.12
Probability88.3%
Edge-5.8%
EV-6.1%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 23.63
Liam Ohgren
VAN @ NYI
7:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Liam Ohgren L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Current Price -900
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYI
Best Price
ESPN BET
-900
Projection0.13
Probability88.2%
Edge-1.8%
EV-2.0%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 23.62
Brendan Gallagher
VAN @ NYI
7:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Brendan Gallagher R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 4 Projected
Current Price -5000
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYI
Best Price
ESPN BET
-5000
Projection0.05
Probability94.8%
Edge-3.2%
EV-3.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 23.44
Mason Marchment
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Mason Marchment L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +1.1%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
Pinnacle
-450
Projection0.19
Probability82.8%
Edge+0.9%
EV+1.1%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 23.36
Zack Ostapchuk
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Zack Ostapchuk C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Expected Value +0.3%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2500
Projection0.04
Probability96.4%
Edge+0.3%
EV+0.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 23.30
Jonathan Lekkerimäki
VAN @ NYI
7:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Jonathan Lekkerimäki R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 1 Projected
Current Price -700
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.3 ≈ -0.2 vs line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NYI
Best Price
ESPN BET
-700
Projection0.26
Probability76.9%
Edge-10.6%
EV-12.1%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 23.06
Jacob Trouba
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Jacob Trouba D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Current Price -2500
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2500
Projection0.06
Probability93.8%
Edge-2.3%
EV-2.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.87
Collin Graf
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Collin Graf R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Current Price -800
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-800
Projection0.17
Probability84.6%
Edge-4.3%
EV-4.8%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.41
Kiefer Sherwood
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Kiefer Sherwood L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Current Price -750
Last 5 1.0 ▲ 0.5 above line
Last 10 1.0 ▲ 0.5 above line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-750
Projection0.17
Probability84.2%
Edge-4.0%
EV-4.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.39
Darnell Nurse
SJS vs BOS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Darnell Nurse D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Current Price -2500
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs BOS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2500
Projection0.18
Probability83.9%
Edge-12.2%
EV-12.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.38
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