Model opportunities

NHL Player Prop Leads

Discover model-supported opportunities, compare prices, and explore the evidence. Leads, not locks.

Pregame Model board

60 Active Leads

Updated 8 books represented Best book only 791 total active
Elite 0
Strong 4
High Confidence23
Value5
Watch 28
Discovery V0.1 Latest completed Discovery V0.1 board • 30-minute refresh target • price age is shown on each Lead. Probability and EV are model estimates, not guarantees. High Confidence describes an outcome category; it is not a higher value tier. Refresh board
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Showing 25 of 60 matching leads from 791 active public leads
Nick Robertson
PIT @ CHI
8:00 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Nick Robertson L
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 4 Projected
Expected Value +135.6%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CHI
Best Price
ESPN BET
+500
Projection0.50
Probability39.3%
Edge+22.6%
EV+135.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 74.78
Declan Carlile
PIT @ CHI
8:00 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Declan Carlile D
Player Goals
over 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +282.7%
Last 5 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.3 ≈ -0.2 vs line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CHI
Best Price
BetOnline
+1400
Projection0.29
Probability25.5%
Edge+18.8%
EV+282.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 71.75
Aydar Suniev
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Aydar Suniev L
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +121.8%
Last 5 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Last 10 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
ESPN BET
+500
Projection0.46
Probability37.0%
Edge+20.3%
EV+121.8%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 55
Discovery 71.17
Kevin Bahl
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Kevin Bahl D
Player Goals
over 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +204.9%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
BetOnline
+1900
Projection0.17
Probability15.2%
Edge+10.2%
EV+204.9%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 65.35
Ben Kindel
PIT @ CHI
8:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Ben Kindel C
Player Shots On Goal
over 1.5
Power Play 1 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +42.4%
Last 5 2.8 ▲ 1.3 above line
Last 10 2.8 ▲ 1.3 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CHI
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
-130
Projection3.03
Probability80.5%
Edge+23.9%
EV+42.4%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 67
Discovery 56.03
Rickard Rakell
PIT @ CHI
8:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Rickard Rakell R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +11.5%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CHI
Best Price
FanDuel
-260
Projection0.22
Probability80.5%
Edge+8.3%
EV+11.5%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 32.51
Matt Coronato
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Matt Coronato R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +8.2%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
FanDuel
-340
Projection0.18
Probability83.6%
Edge+6.3%
EV+8.2%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 29.61
Sidney Crosby
PIT @ CHI
8:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Sidney Crosby C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +7.8%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CHI
Best Price
FanDuel
-260
Projection0.25
Probability77.9%
Edge+5.6%
EV+7.8%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 29.24
Egor Chinakhov
PIT @ CHI
8:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Egor Chinakhov R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +6.6%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CHI
Best Price
ESPN BET
-400
Projection0.16
Probability85.2%
Edge+5.2%
EV+6.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 28.86
Martin Pospisil
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Martin Pospisil C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +5.6%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1200
Projection0.03
Probability97.5%
Edge+5.2%
EV+5.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 28.51
Joel Farabee
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Joel Farabee L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +6.4%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
FanDuel
-420
Projection0.15
Probability86.0%
Edge+5.2%
EV+6.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 28.31
Matvei Gridin
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Matvei Gridin R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +4.7%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-650
Projection0.10
Probability90.7%
Edge+4.1%
EV+4.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 27.14
Zayne Parekh
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Zayne Parekh D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +2.1%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1200
Projection0.06
Probability94.3%
Edge+1.9%
EV+2.1%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 24.96
Kris Letang
PIT @ CHI
8:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Kris Letang D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +1.4%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CHI
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2000
Projection0.03
Probability96.6%
Edge+1.4%
EV+1.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 24.96
Yegor Sharangovich
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Yegor Sharangovich C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +2.2%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-700
Projection0.11
Probability89.4%
Edge+1.9%
EV+2.2%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 24.74
Jake Middleton
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Jake Middleton D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +1.3%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-4000
Projection0.01
Probability98.9%
Edge+1.3%
EV+1.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 24.46
Erik Karlsson
PIT @ CHI
8:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Erik Karlsson D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +1.2%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CHI
Best Price
ESPN BET
-800
Projection0.11
Probability89.9%
Edge+1.0%
EV+1.2%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 24.30
Kaedan Korczak
PIT @ CHI
8:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Kaedan Korczak D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 2 Projected
Expected Value +0.4%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CHI
Best Price
ESPN BET
-5000
Projection0.02
Probability98.4%
Edge+0.4%
EV+0.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 24.00
Blake Lizotte
PIT @ CHI
8:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Blake Lizotte C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Current Price -1600
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CHI
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1600
Projection0.06
Probability94.1%
Edge-0.1%
EV-0.1%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 23.40
Zach Whitecloud
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Zach Whitecloud D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 2 Projected
Expected Value +0.3%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-4000
Projection0.02
Probability97.9%
Edge+0.3%
EV+0.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 23.39
Samuel Girard
PIT @ CHI
8:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Samuel Girard D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Current Price -3500
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CHI
Best Price
ESPN BET
-3500
Projection0.15
Probability86.0%
Edge-11.2%
EV-11.5%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 23.00
Connor Dewar
PIT @ CHI
8:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Connor Dewar C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Current Price -900
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ CHI
Best Price
ESPN BET
-900
Projection0.15
Probability85.9%
Edge-4.1%
EV-4.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 22.99
Simon Nemec
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Simon Nemec D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 1 Projected
Current Price -1600
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1600
Projection0.09
Probability91.4%
Edge-2.7%
EV-2.9%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.75
Kevin Bahl
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Kevin Bahl D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Current Price -4000
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-4000
Projection0.17
Probability84.8%
Edge-12.8%
EV-13.1%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.42
Adam Klapka
CGY @ ANA
9:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Adam Klapka R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 4 Projected
Current Price -900
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ ANA
Best Price
ESPN BET
-900
Projection0.17
Probability84.0%
Edge-6.0%
EV-6.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 22.38
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