Model opportunities

NHL Player Prop Leads

Discover model-supported opportunities, compare prices, and explore the evidence. Leads, not locks.

Pregame Model board

68 Active Leads

Updated 15 books represented Best book only 1404 total active
Elite 0
Strong 2
High Confidence19
Value3
Watch 43
Discovery V0.1 Latest completed Discovery V0.1 board • 30-minute refresh target • price age is shown on each Lead. Probability and EV are model estimates, not guarantees. High Confidence describes an outcome category; it is not a higher value tier. Refresh board
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Showing 25 of 68 matching leads from 1404 active public leads
Adin Hill
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Adin Hill G
Player Saves
under 24.5
Line G
Expected Value +55.8%
Last 5 19.5 ▼ 5.0 below line
Last 10 19.5 ▼ 5.0 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
Bovada
-115
Projection20.18
Probability83.3%
Edge+29.8%
EV+55.8%
Projection run 11133 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 74
Discovery 67.34
Adin Hill
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Adin Hill G
Player Saves
under 23.5
Line G
Expected Value +55.1%
Last 5 19.5 ▼ 4.0 below line
Last 10 19.5 ▼ 4.0 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
DraftKings
+100
Projection20.18
Probability77.5%
Edge+27.5%
EV+55.1%
Projection run 11133 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 74
Discovery 65.36
Jack Eichel
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Jack Eichel C
Player Points
over 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +14.6%
Last 5 1.4 ▲ 0.9 above line
Last 10 1.7 ▲ 1.2 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
BetMGM
-300
Projection1.96
Probability86.0%
Edge+11.0%
EV+14.6%
Projection run 11131 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 68
Discovery 37.39
Rasmus Andersson
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Rasmus Andersson D
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Expected Value +16.0%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
DraftKings
-290
Projection0.15
Probability86.3%
Edge+11.9%
EV+16.0%
Projection run 11130 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 36.77
William Karlsson
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
William Karlsson C
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +9.6%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
DraftKings
-370
Projection0.15
Probability86.3%
Edge+7.5%
EV+9.6%
Projection run 11130 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 31.47
Noah Hanifin
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Noah Hanifin D
Player Points
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Expected Value +9.1%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
Bally Bet
-375
Projection0.15
Probability86.2%
Edge+7.2%
EV+9.1%
Projection run 11131 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 31.07
Brett Howden
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Brett Howden C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +6.5%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
Pinnacle
-476
Projection0.13
Probability88.1%
Edge+5.4%
EV+6.5%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 29.62
William Karlsson
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
William Karlsson C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +5.1%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
Pinnacle
-515
Projection0.13
Probability88.0%
Edge+4.2%
EV+5.1%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 28.29
Ivan Barbashev
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Ivan Barbashev L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +4.9%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
Pinnacle
-465
Projection0.15
Probability86.4%
Edge+4.1%
EV+4.9%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 28.05
Jeremy Lauzon
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Jeremy Lauzon D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +1.9%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-4000
Projection0.01
Probability99.4%
Edge+1.8%
EV+1.9%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 26.09
Mitch Marner
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Mitch Marner R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +3.1%
Last 5 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.3 ≈ -0.2 vs line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-275
Projection0.28
Probability75.6%
Edge+2.3%
EV+3.1%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 25.64
Trevor Connelly
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Trevor Connelly L
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +2.3%
Last 5 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.3 ≈ -0.2 vs line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
-300
Projection0.27
Probability76.7%
Edge+1.7%
EV+2.3%
Projection run 11130 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 24.42
Brayden McNabb
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Brayden McNabb D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Current Price -3500
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-3500
Projection0.03
Probability96.8%
Edge-0.4%
EV-0.4%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 24.05
Nic Dowd
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Nic Dowd C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Current Price -2000
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2000
Projection0.07
Probability93.5%
Edge-1.8%
EV-1.9%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 23.89
Noah Hanifin
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Noah Hanifin D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Current Price -2000
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2000
Projection0.12
Probability88.3%
Edge-6.9%
EV-7.2%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 23.63
Braeden Bowman
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Braeden Bowman R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 4 Projected
Current Price -900
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-900
Projection0.12
Probability88.3%
Edge-1.7%
EV-1.9%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 23.62
Shea Theodore
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Shea Theodore D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 D Pair 1 Projected
Current Price -1400
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1400
Projection0.13
Probability88.2%
Edge-5.2%
EV-5.5%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 23.62
Rasmus Andersson
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Rasmus Andersson D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Current Price -1600
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1600
Projection0.13
Probability87.9%
Edge-6.2%
EV-6.6%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 23.61
Marc Gatcomb
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Marc Gatcomb C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Current Price -4000
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-4000
Projection0.14
Probability86.7%
Edge-10.9%
EV-11.2%
Projection run 11129 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 23.54
Noah Hanifin
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Noah Hanifin D
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Current Price -650
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
DraftKings
-650
Projection0.21
Probability81.1%
Edge-5.6%
EV-6.4%
Projection run 11130 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 22.65
Brett Howden
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Brett Howden C
Player Assists
under 0.5
Line 2 Projected
Current Price -390
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
DraftKings
-390
Projection0.28
Probability75.4%
Edge-4.2%
EV-5.3%
Projection run 11130 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 22.37
Brayden McNabb
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Brayden McNabb D
Player Assists
over 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +61.6%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
DraftKings
+260
Projection0.60
Probability44.9%
Edge+17.1%
EV+61.6%
Projection run 11130 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 68
Discovery 57.96
Mitch Marner
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Mitch Marner R
Player Shots On Goal
over 2.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +43.8%
Last 5 0.4 ▼ 2.1 below line
Last 10 0.3 ▼ 2.2 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
+150
Projection2.99
Probability57.5%
Edge+17.5%
EV+43.8%
Projection run 11128 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 70
Discovery 52.35
Ivan Barbashev
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Ivan Barbashev L
Player Assists
over 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +47.8%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
Bovada
+220
Projection0.62
Probability46.2%
Edge+14.9%
EV+47.8%
Projection run 11130 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 68
Discovery 51.16
Jack Eichel
VGK @ NSH
8:45 PM Open Game Center
Watch Lead
Jack Eichel C
Player Assists
over 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +31.8%
Last 5 1.4 ▲ 0.9 above line
Last 10 1.7 ▲ 1.2 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ NSH
Best Price
BetMGM
-125
Projection1.32
Probability73.2%
Edge+17.7%
EV+31.8%
Projection run 11130 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 68
Discovery 47.84
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