Model opportunities

NHL Player Prop Leads

Discover model-supported opportunities, compare prices, and explore the evidence. Leads, not locks.

Pregame Model board

88 Active Leads

Updated 11 books represented Best book only 1191 total active
Elite 0
Strong 5
High Confidence26
Value7
Watch 50
Discovery V0.1 Latest completed Discovery V0.1 board • 30-minute refresh target • price age is shown on each Lead. Probability and EV are model estimates, not guarantees. High Confidence describes an outcome category; it is not a higher value tier. Refresh board
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Showing 25 of 88 matching leads from 1191 active public leads
Mark Jankowski
CAR vs WSH
6:45 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Mark Jankowski L
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +152.2%
Last 5 0.8 ▲ 0.3 above line
Last 10 0.6 ≈ +0.1 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs WSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
+500
Projection0.55
Probability42.0%
Edge+25.4%
EV+152.2%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 77.17
Mason Lohrei
BOS @ SJS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Mason Lohrei D
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 1 D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +205.6%
Last 5 0.4 ≈ -0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.3 ≈ -0.2 vs line
Venue Away
Opponent @ SJS
Best Price
BetOnline
+1100
Projection0.29
Probability25.5%
Edge+17.1%
EV+205.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 70.68
Sebastian Aho
CAR vs WSH
6:45 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Sebastian Aho C
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +78.7%
Last 5 1.0 ▲ 0.5 above line
Last 10 0.9 ▲ 0.4 above line
Venue Home
Opponent vs WSH
Best Price
FanDuel
+195
Projection0.93
Probability60.6%
Edge+26.7%
EV+78.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 70.41
Morgan Geekie
BOS @ SJS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Morgan Geekie C
Player Shots On Goal
under 1.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +75.2%
Last 5 1.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 1.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ SJS
Best Price
ESPN BET
+150
Projection1.10
Probability70.1%
Edge+30.1%
EV+75.2%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 57
Discovery 69.46
Matthew Poitras
BOS @ SJS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Matthew Poitras C
Player Goals
over 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Expected Value +132.5%
Last 5 0.3 ≈ -0.2 vs line
Last 10 0.3 ≈ -0.2 vs line
Venue Away
Opponent @ SJS
Best Price
BetOnline
+800
Projection0.30
Probability25.8%
Edge+14.7%
EV+132.5%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 57
Discovery 67.64
Pavel Zacha
BOS @ SJS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Pavel Zacha C
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +31.4%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ SJS
Best Price
BetMGM
-175
Projection0.18
Probability83.6%
Edge+20.0%
EV+31.4%
Projection run 11096 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 60
Discovery 47.22
Morgan Geekie
BOS @ SJS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Morgan Geekie C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +17.0%
Last 5 1.2 ▲ 0.7 above line
Last 10 1.2 ▲ 0.7 above line
Venue Away
Opponent @ SJS
Best Price
FanDuel
-280
Projection0.15
Probability86.2%
Edge+12.5%
EV+17.0%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 37.65
Logan Stankoven
CAR vs WSH
6:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Logan Stankoven C
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +14.4%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs WSH
Best Price
BetMGM
-300
Projection0.15
Probability85.8%
Edge+10.8%
EV+14.4%
Projection run 11096 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 35.41
Jackson Blake
CAR vs WSH
6:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Jackson Blake R
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +13.4%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs WSH
Best Price
FanDuel
-330
Projection0.14
Probability87.0%
Edge+10.2%
EV+13.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 35.31
Pavel Zacha
BOS @ SJS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Pavel Zacha C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +12.5%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ SJS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-320
Projection0.15
Probability85.7%
Edge+9.5%
EV+12.5%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 33.91
Logan Stankoven
CAR vs WSH
6:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Logan Stankoven C
Player Shots On Goal
over 1.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +10.1%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 1.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 1.4 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs WSH
Best Price
BetMGM
-220
Projection2.73
Probability75.7%
Edge+7.0%
EV+10.1%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 66
Discovery 32.01
William Carrier
CAR vs WSH
6:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
William Carrier L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +8.1%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs WSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-800
Projection0.04
Probability96.1%
Edge+7.2%
EV+8.1%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 31.78
Nikolaj Ehlers
CAR vs WSH
6:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Nikolaj Ehlers L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +9.0%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs WSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-300
Projection0.20
Probability81.8%
Edge+6.8%
EV+9.0%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 31.13
Casey Mittelstadt
BOS @ SJS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Casey Mittelstadt C
Player Assists
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +7.5%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ SJS
Best Price
BetMGM
-275
Projection0.24
Probability78.9%
Edge+5.5%
EV+7.5%
Projection run 11096 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 60
Discovery 28.42
Jaccob Slavin
CAR vs WSH
6:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Jaccob Slavin D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +4.2%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs WSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2000
Projection0.01
Probability99.2%
Edge+4.0%
EV+4.2%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 28.31
Charlie McAvoy
BOS @ SJS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Charlie McAvoy D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Current Price -750
Venue Away
Opponent @ SJS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-750
Projection0.16
Probability85.5%
Edge-2.7%
EV-3.1%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 80
Discovery 28.28
Jalen Chatfield
CAR vs WSH
6:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Jalen Chatfield D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +2.4%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs WSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2500
Projection0.02
Probability98.5%
Edge+2.3%
EV+2.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 26.56
Jesperi Kotkaniemi
CAR vs WSH
6:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Expected Value +3.5%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs WSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-1600
Projection0.03
Probability97.4%
Edge+3.3%
EV+3.5%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 26.55
Nikita Zadorov
BOS @ SJS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Nikita Zadorov D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 2 Projected
Expected Value +2.4%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ SJS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2800
Projection0.01
Probability98.9%
Edge+2.3%
EV+2.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 26.06
Jordan Martinook
CAR vs WSH
6:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Jordan Martinook L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +2.0%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs WSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-600
Projection0.13
Probability87.5%
Edge+1.7%
EV+2.0%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 25.49
Elias Lindholm
BOS @ SJS
11:00 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Elias Lindholm C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +2.5%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Away
Opponent @ SJS
Best Price
ESPN BET
-500
Projection0.16
Probability85.4%
Edge+2.1%
EV+2.5%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 25.25
Mike Reilly
CAR vs WSH
6:45 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Mike Reilly D
Player Goals
under 0.5
D Pair 3 Projected
Expected Value +1.6%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs WSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-3500
Projection0.01
Probability98.8%
Edge+1.6%
EV+1.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 61
Discovery 24.74
Sean Walker
CAR vs WSH
6:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Sean Walker D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Current Price -2500
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs WSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2500
Projection0.04
Probability95.7%
Edge-0.4%
EV-0.4%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 24.00
K'Andre Miller
CAR vs WSH
6:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
K'Andre Miller D
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 2 Projected
Current Price -2000
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs WSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-2000
Projection0.13
Probability87.9%
Edge-7.3%
EV-7.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 23.61
Eric Robinson
CAR vs WSH
6:45 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Eric Robinson L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Line 4 Projected
Current Price -800
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.1 ▼ 0.4 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs WSH
Best Price
ESPN BET
-800
Projection0.13
Probability87.4%
Edge-1.5%
EV-1.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 64
Discovery 23.58
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