Model opportunities

NHL Player Prop Leads

Discover model-supported opportunities, compare prices, and explore the evidence. Leads, not locks.

Pregame Model board

42 Active Leads

Updated 8 books represented Best book only 791 total active
Elite 0
Strong 6
High Confidence3
Value4
Watch 29
Discovery V0.1 Latest completed Discovery V0.1 board • 30-minute refresh target • price age is shown on each Lead. Probability and EV are model estimates, not guarantees. High Confidence describes an outcome category; it is not a higher value tier. Refresh board
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Showing 25 of 42 matching leads from 791 active public leads
Stephen Halliday
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Stephen Halliday C
Player Shots On Goal
under 2.5
Power Play 2 Line 4 Projected
Expected Value +81.3%
Last 5 1.0 ▼ 1.5 below line
Last 10 1.2 ▼ 1.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
+100
Projection1.07
Probability90.7%
Edge+40.7%
EV+81.3%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 57
Discovery 79.17
Damon Severson
CBJ vs FLA
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Damon Severson D
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +275.5%
Last 5 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Last 10 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs FLA
Best Price
BetOnline
+900
Projection0.47
Probability37.5%
Edge+27.5%
EV+275.5%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 55
Discovery 75.73
Mathieu Olivier
CBJ vs FLA
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Mathieu Olivier R
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +104.6%
Last 5 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Last 10 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs FLA
Best Price
ESPN BET
+400
Projection0.53
Probability40.9%
Edge+20.9%
EV+104.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 59
Discovery 72.78
Stephen Halliday
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Stephen Halliday C
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 4 Projected
Expected Value +128.9%
Last 5 1.0 ▲ 0.5 above line
Last 10 1.2 ▲ 0.7 above line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
BetOnline
+700
Projection0.34
Probability28.6%
Edge+16.1%
EV+128.9%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 70.20
Cole Sillinger
CBJ vs FLA
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Cole Sillinger C
Player Goals
over 0.5
Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +94.3%
Last 5 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Last 10 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs FLA
Best Price
BetOnline
+400
Projection0.49
Probability38.9%
Edge+18.9%
EV+94.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 59
Discovery 69.11
Michael Amadio
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
Strong Lead
Michael Amadio R
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +91.9%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.3 ≈ -0.2 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
BetOnline
+600
Projection0.32
Probability27.4%
Edge+13.1%
EV+91.9%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 65.02
Zach Werenski
CBJ vs FLA
6:15 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Zach Werenski D
Player Shots On Goal
under 3.5
Power Play 1 D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +50.8%
Last 5 2.3 ▼ 1.3 below line
Last 10 2.3 ▼ 1.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs FLA
Best Price
BetMGM
-125
Projection2.10
Probability83.8%
Edge+28.2%
EV+50.8%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 60
Discovery 60.17
Dylan Cozens
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
High Confidence Lead
Dylan Cozens C
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +3.6%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
FanDuel
-350
Projection0.22
Probability80.6%
Edge+2.8%
EV+3.6%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 25.91
Fabian Zetterlund
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
Lead to Watch Waiting for Value
Fabian Zetterlund L
Player Goals
under 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 4 Projected
Current Price -900
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
ESPN BET
-900
Projection0.12
Probability88.5%
Edge-1.5%
EV-1.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 23.12
Tyler Kleven
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Tyler Kleven D
Player Goals
over 0.5
D Pair 2 Projected
Expected Value +175.9%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
BetOnline
+1900
Projection0.15
Probability13.8%
Edge+8.8%
EV+175.9%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 64.88
Kent Johnson
CBJ vs FLA
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Kent Johnson C
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +82.0%
Last 5 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Last 10 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs FLA
Best Price
ESPN BET
+340
Projection0.53
Probability41.4%
Edge+18.6%
EV+82.0%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 59
Discovery 64.19
Tim Stützle
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Tim Stützle C
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +60.3%
Last 5 1.0 ▲ 0.5 above line
Last 10 0.8 ▲ 0.3 above line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
FanDuel
+190
Projection0.81
Probability55.3%
Edge+20.8%
EV+60.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 58.61
Jordan Spence
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
Value Lead
Jordan Spence D
Player Shots On Goal
under 1.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +47.6%
Last 5 0.8 ▼ 0.7 below line
Last 10 1.0 ▼ 0.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
-105
Projection0.95
Probability75.6%
Edge+24.4%
EV+47.6%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 57
Discovery 55.13
Warren Foegele
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
Watch Lead
Warren Foegele L
Player Shots On Goal
under 1.5
Power Play 2 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +101.7%
Last 5 0.4 ▼ 1.1 below line
Last 10 0.3 ▼ 1.2 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
+110
Projection0.31
Probability96.1%
Edge+48.4%
EV+101.7%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 47
Discovery 83.90
Tim Stützle
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
Watch Lead
Tim Stützle C
Player Shots On Goal
under 2.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +31.8%
Last 5 1.0 ▼ 1.5 below line
Last 10 0.8 ▼ 1.7 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
-115
Projection1.90
Probability70.5%
Edge+17.0%
EV+31.8%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 63
Discovery 45.78
Mathieu Olivier
CBJ vs FLA
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Watch Lead
Mathieu Olivier R
Player Shots On Goal
over 1.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +34.0%
Last 5 0.5 ▼ 1.0 below line
Last 10 0.5 ▼ 1.0 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs FLA
Best Price
BetMGM
+115
Projection2.11
Probability62.3%
Edge+15.8%
EV+34.0%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 49
Discovery 41.32
Dylan Cozens
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
Watch Lead
Dylan Cozens C
Player Shots On Goal
under 2.5
Power Play 1 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +19.8%
Last 5 0.0 ▼ 2.5 below line
Last 10 0.0 ▼ 2.5 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
FanDuel
-144
Projection1.89
Probability70.7%
Edge+11.7%
EV+19.8%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 63
Discovery 37.64
Kent Johnson
CBJ vs FLA
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Watch Lead
Kent Johnson C
Player Shots On Goal
over 1.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +19.4%
Last 5 0.5 ▼ 1.0 below line
Last 10 0.5 ▼ 1.0 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs FLA
Best Price
BetMGM
-160
Projection2.61
Probability73.5%
Edge+11.9%
EV+19.4%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 60
Discovery 36.88
Claude Giroux
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
Watch Lead
Claude Giroux R
Player Shots On Goal
under 1.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +21.9%
Last 5 0.8 ▼ 0.7 below line
Last 10 1.3 ≈ -0.2 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
-115
Projection1.23
Probability65.2%
Edge+11.7%
EV+21.9%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 52
Discovery 34.97
Drake Batherson
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
Watch Lead
Drake Batherson R
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 1 Line 1 Projected
Expected Value +21.3%
Last 5 0.6 ≈ +0.1 vs line
Last 10 0.5 ≈ 0.0 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
FanDuel
+200
Projection0.52
Probability40.4%
Edge+7.1%
EV+21.3%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 33.68
Thomas Chabot
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
Watch Lead
Thomas Chabot D
Player Shots On Goal
over 1.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +13.7%
Last 5 3.0 ▲ 1.5 above line
Last 10 2.8 ▲ 1.3 above line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
FanDuel
-188
Projection2.65
Probability74.2%
Edge+8.9%
EV+13.7%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 63
Discovery 33.67
Thomas Chabot
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
Watch Lead
Thomas Chabot D
Player Shots On Goal
over 2.5
Power Play 2 D Pair 1 Projected
Expected Value +18.6%
Last 5 3.0 ▲ 0.5 above line
Last 10 2.8 ▲ 0.3 above line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
Hard Rock Bet
+140
Projection2.65
Probability49.4%
Edge+7.7%
EV+18.6%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 63
Discovery 33.63
Nick Cousins
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
Watch Lead
Nick Cousins C
Player Goals
over 0.5
Power Play 2 Line 4 Projected
Expected Value +27.7%
Last 5 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 0.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
BetOnline
+800
Projection0.15
Probability14.2%
Edge+3.1%
EV+27.7%
Projection run 11081 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 62
Discovery 32.41
Shane Pinto
OTT vs STL
7:30 PM Open Game Center
Watch Lead
Shane Pinto C
Player Shots On Goal
under 1.5
Power Play 2 Line 3 Projected
Expected Value +17.2%
Last 5 1.2 ▼ 0.3 below line
Last 10 1.7 ≈ +0.2 vs line
Venue Home
Opponent vs STL
Best Price
BetOnline
+120
Projection1.58
Probability53.3%
Edge+7.8%
EV+17.2%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 57
Discovery 31.56
Valeri Nichushkin
CBJ vs FLA
6:15 PM Open Game Center
Watch Lead
Valeri Nichushkin R
Player Shots On Goal
under 1.5
Power Play 2 Line 2 Projected
Expected Value +16.0%
Last 5 1.8 ▲ 0.3 above line
Last 10 1.8 ▲ 0.3 above line
Venue Home
Opponent vs FLA
Best Price
BetMGM
+125
Projection1.63
Probability51.6%
Edge+7.1%
EV+16.0%
Projection run 11079 Price checked DiscoveryV0.1
Confidence 54
Discovery 29.65
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